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srblan

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Everything posted by srblan

  1. If you really want to play for the jackpot, play the biggest limit that you can afford, you'll have to work a lot harder to overcome the rake. I haven't done any simulations as to which hands are most likely to yield a jackpot, but common sense would dictate suited connectors (maybe one and two gappers, but this is likely to cost you some money in small pots), and pairs 8 and above. The way that you are likely to make the most money, though, is not playing for the jackpot, rather, taking advantage of loose play due to the jackpot. I'm not sure if this will overcome the rake, but you really can
  2. Depends on the table. The $25/NL on Empire is full of people that love to steal the pot when the early player checks. Makes for a fun session when they bet $1 into a $11 pot, and are shocked when you reraise their weak bet. If they bet pot, Ill give them credit for a good hand, or a good bluff, and lay down all but the strongest hands (ie I hold a full house and a four card flush is on the board) - this is a great moneymaker.Give your opponents an opportunity to dig his own grave - you can just push him into it afterwards.DevTrue, checking with the intention of coming over the top is worthw
  3. Before you decide how to play against an aggressive preflop raiser, you need to decide if he can lay down a hand. If he can't, then you want to punish his looseness by value betting, but you will be going through some big swings along the way. The problem is that the best hand doesn't always win, as we all are very aware, and he will often outdraw you, despite your best efforts. If he is willing to call overbets, then by all means, overbet the pot. Make sure you have the best hand when you do it, though.If he is capable of making a big laydown, pick up your chips and find a different table. Yo
  4. That makes play really predictable. If you never bet the river without the nuts, how often do you think you are going to get called on the river by a player that's paying attention?
  5. I'm 99% sure that you won't find any live, low-limit triple draw. If you don't mind playing it online, it is spread at ultimatebet, but I don't think the games are always going. Triple draw is spread almost exclusively in high-limit mixed games (commerce has them, so does the bellagio). To answer your question about where Daniel plays it, currently, the answer is the Bellagio. However, as I'm sure Daniel will add, the answer on the 28th will be the Wynn. The big game almost always includes triple draw, and almost always it's 2-7. The lowest limit that I've heard the mixed games play is 300-60
  6. If you put him on a flush draw, why not stack him off on the turn? If a diamond came off would you have laid down your hand to a raise? If so, I actually don't hate his play here. In that case, he has three outs to make the nuts and 10 or 11 outs to represent the nuts and take the pot from you. It would be easier to get value out of a gutshot and get paid off because his raise might look like a busted flush draw taking a stab. The funny thing about his pot odds comment is that by calling his all in bet you gave him implied odds to draw to his hand. He called a $45 bet on the turn to win a pot
  7. oops, wrong. AAKK double suited wins the most often. Head up against AAJT ds it will win about four percent more, and in a multi way it will win even more than that. Mike Capaletti proved it in his Omaha bookIn a simulation to showdown, you are correct. That is what Cappelletti "proved" in his book (note, a simulation really doesn't PROVE anything). However, there are several important factors to consider. In many of those simulated hands, those kings might not look like they are the winning hand until the turn or the river, and even then they are not necessarily easy to play. In a high only g
  8. I've heard 69 called several things: Big lick, Happy Meal, sex, etc.I've heard 69 suited called Prom Night.
  9. I think I mentioned table image in response to the question before, now I'm pretty glad I mentioned it. It would be much smoother sailing at the final table if you were to call an all-in with that hand because others at the table would be much more likely to make the same move if they saw you folding with pot odds that were that close.
  10. "It's only a rash, it isn't contagious." Oh, wait, wrong set of lies ;)Some of the worst lies that poker players make are to themselves: "I'm pot committed, I have to call here even though I know I'm beat.""I'm hemmoraging money, but it's not because I'm getting outplayed or making bad decisions, I'm just getting unlucky, like the time I flopped two pair with 83 offsuit and I got beat by that flush draw or the bigger two pair."
  11. The reason for pushing in with Ax is that you want a hand that can stand a showdown without necessarily improving. Ace high could potentially win if you are up against king high. Jack high could not. If you move in with J-10 and get called with A-J you are in big trouble. If you move in with 9-10 and get called by 99 or 10-10, you are in trouble. The point is that you are going to need to get lucky with any hand that you are up against, so why not give yourself the best shot at winning without improvement? That is the reason that Mike Caro mentions moving in with a small pair instead of connec
  12. I'd have limped with the 9s, rather than raising with them. You aren't going to get a better hand to fold by raising with them, and if someone raises behind you, you have a tough decision to make. If you flop a set, you are likely to bust someone. If you don't, you haven't invested much and you can throw them away. You mentioned moving all in to try to move someone off of AQ or AK. I don't know a lot of people that would fold AK in a tournament when faced with an all-in raise. You also stated that you are a postflop player. If that is the case, why put all your money in preflop? That means tha
  13. You did not really mention what your goal was. Your small raise, you stated, was to indicate your desire to go after the small stack. When the big stack went all in, that goal went out the window. Now, you are put to the test, do you want to give the big stack a chance to knock out the small stack or do you want to give yourself the best chance of winning the whole thing. If you decide that you want to go for the win, then a call is clearly warranted. If you think that you can outplay your opponents, then folding makes sense, since it will give you the chance to survive and maybe move up two p
  14. Quick question about your read: You mention that the dealer is a short stack. With queens, why would he want to give you a chance to outplay him on the flop? A short stack would be likely to put in all of the money and hope that his queens hold up. The same can be said about his bet on the flop. Why would he bet so little? He wants to make sure that he keeps you in the hand. The other question that I have is, why not put him all in before the flop? If you would consider folding on the flop, then you should have considered folding before the flop. If you are going to call his bet on the flop an
  15. You made the right play, he played like a donkey. It happens too often, but thank him for calling you as such a huge dog. I like potting it ahead of him on the flop because it shows him that you are not afraid of his two big cards. Another possibility is reraising half the pot or less before the flop to show some strength, but still not enough to commit all of your chips.
  16. The small blind had only himself to blame for not winning that pot instead of you. All he had to do was pop it on the flop and you were throwing away your hand unless he had pocket 10s, in which case he should have bet out on the turn. If he had jacks and he popped it up to like 200, A-10 probably still would have called and he would have gotten you (the drawing hand) out of the pot. He tried to get clever and he ended up hurting himself. If he had A-2, then he has only himself to blame for not raising the flop (or for calling your raise preflop with that). He doesn't know that you don't have
  17. The only way I'd really want to have AK in an unraised pot is from the button or one off the button. That way, if I miss the flop and it is checked around to me, I can bet. If I hit the flop, I might catch someone with a bad kicker. Otherwise, I'd want to try to win a little pot. I'm not a big fan of chasing with ak unless there is some type of draw, backdoor or otherwise, which I can hit. A pair with a kicker is often not enough to win in no limit, so if I have something like overcards with a gutshot, or a backdoor flush, I am much more comfortable putting in money with ak.
  18. With the blinds at that size, everyone but you is short stacked. Any time you enter a pot, you are basically pot committed since nobody has enough money to move you off of a hand since there is $12,000 in the pot before you enter and $20k if you decide to limp in making it correct to call a raise with any two cards even if it is made by the 40k stack. Moving them all in (not the same as moving yourself all in, since obviously you are only risking the size of their stacks) is definitely a good strategy in this spot, since you are only risking 5% of your chips at the most. If one of them gets lu
  19. Moneymaker was calling for low cards when he called Boyd's all in, indicating that he believed (correctly) that Boyd had unpaired high cards.
  20. The practical problem with that strategy is that your big hands won't get paid off because you'll be all-in well before the betting is done. With a bankroll of a grand, you're playing WAY above your limits. If it works out for you, more power to you, but you are losing a lot of value by playing at those limits with that size stake.
  21. Most hold'em players overvalue pocket aces in omaha. In hold 'em, you don't really need a backup plan for your big pairs. Sometimes you'll make a flush or a straight with them, they are great when you hit a set, but you don't necessarily need a set to beat most hold 'em hands. That is because you only have two other cards to worry about. In omaha, you have 6 combinations of cards per hand to worry about, so your hand almost always has to improve for you to win the pot. You are ahead with them before the flop, but if they don't improve, you are likely beat.If you have the mindset that every oma
  22. I totally agree with this assessment, though there is one thing that is not entirely clear. It is not 100% clear that we are the big stack. Our relative chip position at the table might influence our decision on whether the call makes sense. If the other stacks at the table are big enough to push us around then a lot of our ante steal attempts might fail. They are probably going to be tempted to come over the top of us having seen us chuck this hand with 2:1 odds on a call. It might help our table image and prevent marginal hands from trying to bully us by showing down this hand. You are 60% t
  23. If his pair is 9s or better than you are getting horrible pot odds to make a call. You are at least a 3-1 dog against a pair that is not an underpair. I agree with your ultimate analysis that this is probably a reasonable fold, though.
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