srblan
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Posts posted by srblan
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(IIRC) They actually accellerate the blind structure for TV, so it's really not how big buy in tourneys normally behave (most of the 10k's have 2 hour levels, and I believe that it changes for the final table).Agreed, Shana is hotter.It's a final table, that's what blind structures start to do at the end of tournies.The 2 camera's are too wierd and there's no point to getting those angles IMO. -
It'll make you go blind.
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He did go off a bit after he started losing, but he definitely started off playing well. The big beats that I saw he had his money in best. The straight with Mimi Tran, flush against set with Sammy, flush against flush draw with Barry, etc.Absolutely not true. DN is my hero. This is not biased at all. But come on! "Got his money in good every other time"?He's called all-ins with horrible pot odds to hit his hands. Called with the obviously the worst hands MANY times and made terrible bluffs in the last few episodes.I will admit that the few times he started with the best hands, he's gotten drawn out on (except against Sheiky, YA!), but overall, he hasn't been playing well.I hate to see it because I really like him and am rooting for him, but that's what's happening. -
Winning doesn't mean that he makes the right play every time. That makes as much sense as "I have more money than you which proves that I'm smarter."it's funny to see people tryign to flame someone (esfandiari) who is a more successful player and has a nice BR.i'm sure he gets the last laugh against most people to make fun of him in forums. -
Right, DN raised, and Antonio flat called behind him, hoping to get reraised. Instead, Freddy, Doyle, Barry, a couple of bar chicks, and some of the TV crew called behind him.Just a clarification, Antonio didn't limp AA that hand, he called something like a 4x raise from the person on his direct right. -
I think I saw it a couple times in earlier blogs too.
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In sidegames, you don't open your hand up until it is time to collect the pot. There are a few exceptions (Bellagio 2-5 nl because they want to run it like WPT). In 2-7 NL, you don't turn over your hand until after the draw, because it would be simple math to determine whether or not to draw based on the hand you were looking at.I just read the latest Blog and when it came to the 2-7 Hand DN describes i was wondering.When u play 2-7 NL and you are all in Preflop are the hands turned over immediately? IMO it makes more sense to wait till the draws are over since it might influence you wether you should draw or not if you knew your opponents hand? -
Monte Carlo Simulation of AA77 vs Random Hand
Monte carlo simulation results from Poker Calculator 1.1.4.1Omaha Hold'em, 100000 combinations tested.Hand | AsAc7s7c | xxxx |------+--------------+--------------+Win | 70178 | 29575 |Draw | 247 | 247 |Lose | 29575 | 70178 |------+--------------+--------------+Win% | 70.3% | 29.7% |------+--------------+--------------+AsAc7s7c: Pair win: 8708 draw: 88 lose: 13007 Two Pair win: 18331 draw: 152 lose: 9700 Three of a Kind win: 14947 draw: 0 lose: 5300 Flush win: 12424 draw: 0 lose: 852 Full House win: 13976 draw: 7 lose: 715 Quads win: 1792 draw: 0 lose: 1 xxxx: High Card win: 0 draw: 0 lose: 2721 Pair win: 0 draw: 88 lose: 25681 Two Pair win: 6455 draw: 152 lose: 29981 Three of a Kind win: 4714 draw: 0 lose: 4539 Straight win: 8686 draw: 0 lose: 2570 Flush win: 3905 draw: 0 lose: 2922 Full House win: 5157 draw: 7 lose: 1761 Quads win: 574 draw: 0 lose: 3 Straight Flush win: 84 draw: 0 lose: 0
Same thing for AA55 vs. Random hand.
Monte carlo simulation results from Poker Calculator 1.1.4.1Omaha Hold'em, 100000 combinations tested.Hand | AhAd5h5d | xxxx |------+--------------+--------------+Win | 70707 | 28974 |Draw | 319 | 319 |Lose | 28974 | 70707 |------+--------------+--------------+Win% | 70.87% | 29.13% |------+--------------+--------------+AhAd5h5d: Pair win: 8327 draw: 98 lose: 12228 Two Pair win: 17848 draw: 151 lose: 9430 Three of a Kind win: 14456 draw: 0 lose: 5273 Straight win: 1924 draw: 63 lose: 420 Flush win: 12198 draw: 0 lose: 810 Full House win: 13990 draw: 7 lose: 812 Quads win: 1846 draw: 0 lose: 1 Straight Flush win: 118 draw: 0 lose: 0 xxxx: High Card win: 0 draw: 0 lose: 2692 Pair win: 0 draw: 98 lose: 25850 Two Pair win: 5939 draw: 151 lose: 30596 Three of a Kind win: 4700 draw: 0 lose: 4572 Straight win: 8725 draw: 63 lose: 2531 Flush win: 3945 draw: 0 lose: 2878 Full House win: 5053 draw: 7 lose: 1587 Quads win: 540 draw: 0 lose: 1 Straight Flush win: 72 draw: 0 lose: 0
Looks like DN was right. Very close, still.
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My sim came up with the following:
Calculation results from Poker Calculator 1.1.4.1Omaha Hold'em, 1086008 combinations tested.Hand | AsAc7s7c | AhAd5h5d |------+--------------+--------------+Win | 339702 | 335118 |Draw | 411188 | 411188 |Lose | 335118 | 339702 |------+--------------+--------------+Win% | 50.21% | 49.79% |------+--------------+--------------+AsAc7s7c: Pair win: 0 draw: 138600 lose: 139944 Two Pair win: 0 draw: 243180 lose: 128310 Three of a Kind win: 80892 draw: 0 lose: 41148 Flush win: 165144 draw: 0 lose: 23190 Full House win: 82188 draw: 29408 lose: 2524 Quads win: 11478 draw: 0 lose: 2 AhAd5h5d: Pair win: 0 draw: 138600 lose: 120428 Two Pair win: 0 draw: 243180 lose: 118570 Three of a Kind win: 60900 draw: 0 lose: 57708 Straight win: 24348 draw: 0 lose: 8340 Flush win: 163598 draw: 0 lose: 23152 Full House win: 73194 draw: 29408 lose: 11464 Quads win: 11438 draw: 0 lose: 40 Straight Flush win: 1640 draw: 0 lose: 0
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He never makes deals for tournaments. I'm sure he regularly runs cards twice in close situations.I could be wrong but I thought I read something where Daniel said he never ran cards twice through.Anybody confirm/deny? -
He was beat until the river. His point was that he had to suck out to win. He didn't have the best hand the whole way, though he probably thought he did.
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Not top pros AFAIK.lots of sports put up there own money, tennis golf at least they have to win to get money. -
The hand didn't look like scared money to me, it looked like Antonio made a good read and went with it. I am not a fan of Antonio's. I used to play a lot at Lucky Chances where Antonio got his start, and he had a lot of nasty things to say about the people that play there when he got "famous".The flop was a terrible one for AA. I totally disagree that the river bet was an autocall. Antonio never defined his hand during the entire sequence, so for all that Barry knew, he was betting into a straight or a set. In Antonio's mind, Barry was probably betting the amount he did for value. There was a raise preflop, so Antonio probably puts Barry on two big cards or a pair. As Gabe Kaplan pointed out, the only quality hand that Antonio could really beat that would bet in that manner is AK. Antonio probably worried more about a set than a straight, but since he has "only" a pair, and the board is very dangerous, the laydown he made is very reasonable.
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When the pot goes to the other guy, it's no good.How many permutations of a 52 card deck?52 factorial or 52! is + to 52x51x50x49..........x1= 8.065817517 x 1067 =80,658,175,170,943,878,571,660,636,856,403,766,975,289,505,440,883,277, 824,000,000,000,000 different ways to shuffle a 52 card deck......now if I could only figure out when my top set is no good. -
Biased. He overplayed a flush on yesterday's show, but he got is money in good every other time.From what I heard, DN is playing the worst of all of them. True or just biased NWP opinions?
Phil and I have the same luggage. Plastic grocery bags all the way.Yeah, the bag showed Phil to be the ****** bag he is.Where do you guys carry your 150 grand? -
*Insert clever reply/fake answer*It's a frequent player point.What's a FPP? -
I've incorporated body-checking into my game after any bad beat that I take. Also, I disagree that a sport is a contest where your opponent can affect your outcome. I don't really care one way or the other if poker is labeled a sport. I can't help but chuckle at the picture of Doyle with "Athlete?" under it. As others have stated, he was a top track athlete and was drafted by the NBA before he injured his knee.The problem with labels is that nobody can ever agree where they apply and where they don't. Sport or not, who cares?The original question about corporate sponsorship is something that seems to be working its way towards happening. If the TV producers are making so much money from and exerting so much control over the tournament broadcasts, shouldn't they contribute financially? The fact is, tournament poker has its roots in people putting up their own money to play, and it will probably remain mostly that way for quite a while. Yes, there are exceptions (the PPT comes to mind, I think the WSOP Tournament of Champions is sort of sponsored, too), but a great deal of the appeal of big tournament poker is the "anyone can win" aspect.
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Layne Flack before he got sober would have won.I've heard that Men regularly drinks a ton of beer when he plays, so he might be the obvious choice.Daniel had a few articles way back when stating that he had donked of a hundred grand or so when drinking (or it could have been close to 100).
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*screenshot*I stand corrected. -
Start asking for addresses of people that outdraw you. Hunt them down and crap in their water supply.As far as the actual beats go, you had a couple of bad beats and a straight draw that found another way to beat you. What were you doing playing Q6 soooted? You should probably take a break and sit down at a different table since it sounds like you are steamed and your opponents are probably picking up on it.
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I'm not so sure that it's ridiculous. Given a truly random shuffle, it's possible that you could shuffle cards for your whole life and never repeat a configuration. Given that the estimated number of atoms in the universe is less than 10 orders of magnitude greater than the number of unique shuffles, it is very possible that no truly random shuffle could ever be repeated.One of the problems with early (and maybe some current) poker sites is that their random number generators only used 32 bits, which is far smaller than the number of unique shuffles. However, even given this much smaller space, if you ran a program which generated 32 bit numbers randomly and kept track of them, stopping when a duplicate was generated, you could probably run for years without ever hitting a duplicate (just an estimate, too lazy to do the actual calculation).I'm no math wiz, but I would venture to say that that is a ridiculous statement. -
At that limit, Barry could have had the nut flush draw and made that move. However, he would have had to worry about Freddy. He could have also had pocket deuces, which would have been very vulnerable to a lot of hands.I dont think he got unlucky on the quads. He was a donk. After barry reraised with two eights on board even an idiot like me woulda put him on an eight. -
You might consider using a stop and go play in this situation - call preflop and then push on any flop. Some players will lay down a hand even if they are committed to the pot, not realizing that they are. The problem is that you had no fold equity preflop with your small raise at that point. Even a small pocket pair would be getting such a good price that they would have to call.His play was not actually that bad if your table was one that commonly has a lot of people that limp with weak hands trying to see a cheap flop. Attacking limpers is a fairly common tournament strategy and an okay way to pad your stack a bit. If you use it too often, you'll get looked up, but it works well on occasion. It does take some heart, knowing that you could be walking into a trap (don't use this play if you see someone at your table slowplay a big pair), and it takes a good read on the table, since if you are at a table full of people that won't fold after they limp in, you are going to have to play out of position with a very weak hand.I have played in a lot of tournaments and seen a lot of terrible plays with little pocket pairs (I've seen limp-allin reraise with pocket 4s-6s at least 3 times in the past week) and I've also seen a lot of very, very questionable calls with them. Just try to get in to see a cheap flop with them unless you get to the ante-stealing level of a tournament. Then, depending on your stack, make a standard raise, but fold to a reraise by a tight player or move in if you have <= 10 BB.I know a Donk's opinion on low pocket pairs, but I was curious as to how more experienced players feel about them. Since I play at lower limits and smaller buyin tourneys I deal with a lot of Donk's making moves with low PP's. The latest one was a 30 person SNG MTT where the guy raised the size of the pot from the SB with pocket 4's. I had K-J suited and was getting about 2.8-1 on my money with the BB at 1/6 of my stack, so when everyone folded to me I figured that the guy was probably holding either A-low off or a sm pp so I re-raised all in as I was on the short stack with 16 left and I was only able to re-raise half of the original raise. I inevitably blanked all the entire board and was out, but I can't get over this move made by what I feel is an obvious donkey. There were four others in the hand who had all limped, so was raising the size of the pot out of position with 44 as bad of a play as I thought or not? He won the hand but as they say play decisions not results so who's play was worse, mine for moving in or his for making the original raise. -
He didn't have top boat, Queens full is a bigger boat, and pocket aces and kings would both be bigger boats.He did get unlucky on both the quad 8's vs top boat and the flopped two pair vs. set...then he just donked another 25-30k. Antonio got bigtime unlucky, played the hand perfect and got sucked out on
Esfandiari Is The Man!
in General Poker Forum
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