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LongOdds

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Everything posted by LongOdds

  1. Agreed. Andy Glazer wrote an entire article about it.....quite a preflop lay down, and the hole cameras were on in another room, so obviously that room erupted when he made the fold....unbelievable.
  2. Out of the Box - There is no such thing as successful ethical investing. Three possibilities. 1) You have inside information (the definition of unethical investing, I presume). 2) You have analyzed public information and have discovered a trend/fact that indicates a successful investing opportunity. In this case, it is your obligation, ethically of course, to share such discover with those less fortunate and ignorant of said discovery. As the information is made more available, the opportunity dissipates and is no longer successful. 3) You have no inside information, and you have no usefu
  3. What river? The way this played, with the stack sizes, it was all or nothing after that flop. I dont think flat calling was an option.
  4. a) if I were to reraise preflop (he raised to $6), it would have been to $16 to $18 dollars, so by no means would I have just lost $10.B) if he had bet out $10 to $12, I may have been able to let this go. My read said AA or KK, but the overbet made me think TT or JJ, which I was dominating.
  5. Ok, so $50 NL table.SB PostsBB PostsUTG FoldsHero - Dealt Red QQ - Raise to $2Everyone folds around to BB, who makes it $6Hero CallsFlop Comes 3 Rags (8 high), with 2 Spades.BB leads out with a $16 bet.I go into the tank. Preflop, his range was 66-AA, AJ-AK. Now, I dont think he would overbet the pot with a set (pot has $12.25), so this bet is screaming protection to me. I am certain he doesnt have the spade draw. Really, in my eyes he could have 99-JJ (pocket overpair, but smaller than mine) or KK-AA (dreadful pocket overpairs). I start thinking that there is no way with KK or AA he woul
  6. 22 Hours? What limit do you play at? How many tables?I cleared the Bodog bonus in like 8 hours two-tabling $50 NL. You dont have to clear any refer a friend bonuses. Only the 20% deposit bonus.
  7. I like the Monte Carlo room, which I havent seen anyone mention yet.
  8. Part of it is that some pros dont want to spend a ton of hours (in this case several days) only to get eliminated out of the money or to make a small cash. Think opportunity cost. If they can make serious cash in a side game, why not go for broke the first time your dealt QQ or the first time you flop better than TPTK? That way, they are either getting chips and getting serious, or they are on to the next profitable (hopefully) venture. Most players, on the other hand, like to get their moneys worth out of tournaments. I, for instance, would have no doubt that I would fold several hands t
  9. The only thing I would have done differently, given the stacks and the fact that you were UTG, is I think I would have only raised to 900 or 1000. Anything higher and you are forceing them to move all-in on you. Once he pushes, I think you need to call. That said, I have lost many a SNG on the bubble by losing a hefty portion of my stack UTG with AQ. Many a SNG. I just cant get away from it. Cant fold it preflop, cant limp and invite the steal, and you raise it and you get yourself in these scenarios. Its got to be played, but it isnt a scenario I look forward to.
  10. 10 started, 5 left, top 3 pay (50%-30%-20%), when the following hand comes up....Blinds at 100/200UTG Goes All-in for 650Hero - Dealt 99 - Reraises All-in for 1150 (figure UTG would go all in with any decent holding to avoid being 1/3 in on BB)Button - Reraises All-in for 1350SB (big stack)- FoldsBB (big stack)- FoldsTwo questions1) Was my isolation all-in over the top the right play? I am almost sure it was, just want to make sure other agree given the scenario.2) The Button, who came over the top of both UTG and Me for all his chips, ended up showing 1010. I got into an argument w/ a frien
  11. I posted this on a prior thread:I've played quite a few Bodog SNG, and here is my take: You start with $1000, and the blinds go up every 10 hands (5/10, 10/20, 15/30, 30/60, 50/100, 100/200, 250/500). So, the way it plays out is this: The structure helps you early, and then as people get eliminated (hands go around faster, so a time interval would be bettter late in the SNG) the structure starts to kill you. Basically, its a 10 person SNG that usually (if you play tight early and look for premium spots to double up only) becomes a 5 person crap shoot. Not hard to make money, but very hard to c
  12. I follow a similar strategy, and to be honest, it doesnt work well on BoDog.If you fold a lot and only play premium hands, I usually have between 840 and 960 by the time the blinds become 30/60. That give you 10 hands to make a move and try to win a monster pot (which you did in your example). More often then not, you either wont get the cards necessary, or you wont get the action necessary to double up here. Then, its 50/100 and you are short stacked with less than 10 BB. Now, you have 10 hands to make a desperation move, and if it doesnt happen in the first couple, you start looking to s
  13. For low limit games, my favorite was the Monte Carlo. Check it out.Oh, and as for the Excalibur, just keep on walking.The 3/6 and the Mirage can be fun, but the players there take it a bit more seriously.
  14. I've played quite a few Bodog SNG, and here is my take:You start with $1000, and the blinds go up every 10 hands (5/10, 10/20, 15/30, 30/60, 50/100, 100/200, 250/500). So, the way it plays out is this: The structure helps you early, and then as people get eliminated (hands go around faster, so a time interval would be bettter late in the SNG) the structure starts to kill you. Basically, its a 10 person SNG that usually (if you play tight early and look for premium spots to double up only) becomes a 5 person crap shoot. Not hard to make money, but very hard to consistently do well.The worst
  15. [smaller raise gets the same result, just makes calling the allin tougher. Thats the point man. You dont want to risk your tournament life with 1010 when there is still a lot of poker to playl. You are 2nd or 3rd in chips. Openly accepting any challengers with this hand is just plain foolish. Hands I dont want to see in this situation : AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK, AQ, AJ, KQ, KJ, QJ. Thats tooooo many hands. I know, I know. Against the two overs we are a small favorite (you know, the 52 to 48 variety), so I should be ok with that, right? Wrong man. Your up against an equal stack. That means
  16. Dont waste your time chasing bonuses until you have a bigger roll (the bonus is usually a % of the deposit, and you dont want to waste future opportunities by creating accounts and depositing small amounts).Smash is right on this one. Play a ton of hands and crush the smaller games. If your NL game is decent, the $25 NL tables are crushable anywhere (I would recommend Fulltilt because the somewhat tighter play lowers the variance....good for your limited roll). Although, I wouldnt try those out until you run your roll up to $300 or so first. Seriously, you should be able to claw from $200
  17. I dont like the raise UTG with 10/10. I think its a limp situation. You cant raise any smaller than you did, because your inviting a push, and you dont want to push yourself because it is too reckless and you might run into a big hand (or allow a small stack with two faces to double through you). I think limp is the only way to go. Not a good spot to be aggressive.Now, once the button reraises, I am his range is a) 99, JJ-AA, B) A10-Ak, and c) on a pure steal (unlikely) with Kxs-Axs. Unless he is a maniac, I only see two holdings I want to be up against (99, A10). Even if he is a donk (A
  18. I'm no expert, but I would have played it the same way.After the turn, you cant make any bet smaller than the 14 that puts him all in (he would just reraise the difference and you would have to call). I dont think your getting away from this one in this situation. If you had position, or if he had a bigger stack, then maybe you can get away at some point, but in this scenario, I feel most of us would of met the same result.There are simply too many donks at $25 and $50 NL that are willing to play Ax and play it hard to think about letting this hand go....Any other thoughts?
  19. I understand it. Thats why I play there. I was just making the point that you have to expect a higher variance then normal. Now you STFU and crawl back into whatever bitter shell you came out of.
  20. BoDog has been good to me, but it is a very high variance site.Just today I had this occur to me in a $50 NL table:Me with KK, opponent with QJcI bet 4 BB preflop, he calls.Flop is three rags, no clubs. He checks, I bet 75% of pot, he calls.Turn is a J. He checks, I bet 80% of pot, he calls.River is a J. He checks, I bet 60% of pot, he flat calls.Goodbye mucho money. Its tough to put up with that stuff, but in the long run, it is very good on my roll.As a warning, I have noticed the NL tables getting tighter in the last few days. There is still usually 3 or 4 juicy tables, but the other 3
  21. Habib owned a significant % of Tuans action. I had previously heard 25%, but in this thread someone claims 50%. Either way, it is openly known that Habib owned some of Tuans action. The real question is whether or not they let the arrangement effect their play (dumping chips, soft play, collusion, etc.). There is no evidence of colusion, there is only one poorly played hand by Habib that can be explained in many ways, one of which happens to be collusion.Paul Phillips had a very interesting blog analyzing this situation. He got into the actual math of Habib's decision (not as obvious as
  22. Royal, in that case, why pass on the opportunity to be up against a 2/3c steal attempt?I think its a good call. Pot is offering good odds, you need to gamble, and you may triple up if there is another caller behind you.
  23. Fairly easy hand to play.Only thing I might have done differently is bet $1.50 or $1.75 into the BB.....if he was at all tight, I dont want to risk a fold because of the $2.00 bet (his BB is only $0.25, so he very well might fold). If he is loose, 2 or $2.25 is fine.Turn and River are fine.He two pair you?
  24. Split the 40% only.The 20% is a deposit bonus that must be earned. He who deposits and then plays, keeps it.Basic stuff man. The referrer should be happy with the free $100.The depositer should end up with $200 ($100 from referral, $100 from the $500 deposit).
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