Jump to content

NickG

Members
  • Content Count

    131
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by NickG

  1. It's not quite as simple as doubling the stakes.The only casino game I've played with a Kill is 2/4 Omaha Hi/Lo w/ Half Kill.In this game, if someone SCOOPS a pot greater than $30, they receive a "Kill" button.They are then required to post a blind bet of $3 in the next hand. That hand is then played at 3/6 limit. However, the regular big and small blinds remain $2 and $1, unless they are the player with the kill button. On the hand, if the pot is split or is less than $30, the Kill button is returned to the dealer and the stakes return to 2/4. If someone scoops a Kill pot greater than $30
  2. I don't know which forum to put this message in, so I am just putting it in general poker. Moderators can move it if they see fit.I am asking someone at FCP support to please respond. Here is my situation:During November, I signed up to be an FCP charter member using this account. When FCP relaunched, I couldn't seem to get any information on my charter membership, so I did the FCP live chat thing to get it sorted out. I spoke to "Misha". She told me I should create a new account on FCP (which I did under the name NickGx) and she would have a manager change the status to charter member an
  3. There is a new book out about the Kelley criteria and its application to both gambling and investments called "Fortune's Forumla". A very interesting read.Basically, the formula defines the percentage of your bankroll that you can invest over repeated iterations of a positive EV game such that you will maximize you expected value while having zero chance of going broke.It's not quite as simple as knowing you have a 30% chance to hit a draw...you have to know what your expected value is versus the amount you wagered. So if you invest $1 for a 30% chance of winning $4, your EV is $1.2, and yo
  4. I'm sorry...I don't understand what this means.With respect to the original email, I really can't remember. If I did get it, I can no longer find it.
  5. I signed up to be a charter member a couple weeks ago, but I haven't been getting any of these emails everyone is talking about. How do I know if I am actually a charter member or not? I only have one email account, so that should not be an issue.
  6. I 3-table at Party Poker and tend to see about 200 hands per hour total. But it tends to vary widely by tables....75/hour at one table, 45/hour at another, etc.
  7. I just realized what I posted contains a mistake...on the odds of having the quad and flush hands, where I use 2/(48*47), it should be 2/(47*46), and where I use 2/(46*45), it should be 2/(45*44)...changes the final result to 1 in 160 million, not 1 in 175 million.
  8. A few comments:With respect to the starting hands, you're calculating the specific probability that three specific players have the three specific hands you pointed out. What we are really interested in is whether ANY three players at the table have the hands we are interested in. At a 10-person table, this could occur in any of 720 combinations, so you'd have to multiply your final result by that. Although if we are giving the hero the jacks, rather than just any player, its only 72.Along the same lines, you are calculating the probably that the board will read what it did in the specif
  9. Yeah, I don't see any problem with the way he played it. You have to slowplay the flop, because you want people to draw to their straights and flushes and what not...especially since other people were betting for him. The one thing I don't understand is that he said he checked on the flop, and then the SB bet. If he was on the button, why was he acting first on the flop?
  10. I don't know the exact answer to this question, but I know your basic numbers aren't right. The odds you are using are for 5-card hands (e.g. 5-card stud), not 7-card hands as in Hold-em. The chances of getting quads or a straght flush are thus MUCH higher than you estimate.In about 25,000 hands I have on poker tracker, I have ended up with quads on 0.14% of hands where the river has been dealt (regardless of whether I stayed it). Thus suggest to me that the chance of hitting quads is better than 1/1000. I know the chance of FLOPPING quads if you have a pocket pair already is 1/400.
  11. Whether to play tight or loose at a very loose table really depends on how aggressive the other players are preflop.If everyone is just limping in, then you can also limp in with all sorts of speculative hands, because the amount of money you have to pay before seeing whether they hit is very small in proportion to the pot size.However, the OP said that every pot is CAPPED preflop. In this case, you have to invest a lot more preflop into each hand in proportion to the final pot, so you probably aren't getting odds on hands that have an 5-10% chance to hit.I would still probably play middle-to
  12. I wish their were more non-NLHE event too, but I can't fault them for doing what they are doing. I mean, who exactly would benefit from having more non-NLHE games at the WSOP?Here's who benefits from NLHE:- The casino and its staff: They get a lot more people entering NLHE events, so they generate a lot more business this way- Amateur players: They are the ones who only want to play NLHE, so they get a lot more opportunities to play.- Pro players: NLHE gives them a greater advantage over amateur players than limit games, and the larger fields leave a lot more dead money for them to pick up.-
  13. The PLISTINGS code should work for everyone for up to $150, unless you have recently cashed out. I'm currently about halfway through my 1500 hands for this bonus.The morning, I also got a 25UPTO100DEAL bonus offer, which I will deposit to as soon as I finish working off the current bonus. Apparently everyone received different offers on this front, with some people gettiing offers in the form of Party Points earned. For VIP members, I'm guessing it depends on the VIP deal that was offered at the beginnning of the month.
  14. This might be an interesting story...I don't know because it is completely unreadable. Would it be that much harder to use actual sentences when writing long posts?
  15. I don't want to come off as a smart-ass....but it's a POKER game....how many bugs and errors could their be? It's not like they have to deal with some sophisticated graphics engine with frame rate and camera angle concerns. My impression was the big draw was the AI, but I thought this was more or less imported from one of the existing models.
  16. Here's what I don't like about this forum:- People who seem to flame almost every post without even looking at it.- People who turn threads into personal side discussions that have nothing to do with poker or the OP.- People who make no attempt at forming coherent sentences or paragraphs.- The "most recent messages" box on the front page should include messages from all the forums, and not just "general poker". At is it right now, it discourages people from reading and responding to messages in other fora, and thus encourages people to just post everything in "general poker".
  17. OK, here's the hand converted.It didn't work right though....it says I won the pot and I didn't.Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cxPreflop: Hero is SB with T:diamond:, 7:diamond:. 2 folds, Hero completes, BB checks.Flop: (5 SB) 9:spade:, J:spade:, 8:spade: (5 players)Hero bets, BB folds, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 folds.Turn: (4 BB) 6:club: (3 players)Hero bets, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls.River: (6 BB) 2:heart: (2 players)Hero bets, Hero calls.Final Pot: 10 BBHero has Td 7d (straight, jack high). MP1 doesn't show. Outcome: Hero wins 10 BB.
  18. Any recommendations on how to play a hand where you flop a straight, but the board is suited in a suit you don't have?I am mpkdx in the hand below, with 10d-7d in the small blind. I bet out on the flop/turn for information / to make people pay for their draws, and when the 4th spade didn't hit by the river and no one had raised, I figured I was winning and bet.Should I have just checked the river, or folded to the river raise? Should I have just check/folded the flop, figuring I might be dead right then, and certainly dead to a 4th spade?***** Hand History for Game 3035707124 *****$2/$4 Texa
  19. So how many hands do people think you need before you can get a decent estimate of BB/100? Say, within +/- 1 BB.I guess I could calculate a confidence interval I knew my standard deviation of BB/100....but I have no idea how I would figure out SD from PokerTracker.
  20. So I started playing limit semi-seriously 4 months ago on Party Poker, and I've been using PokerTracker to keep track of my limit Hold-em winnings:Started playing .50/1...won easily and quickly so I moved up to 1/2.Through just under 15,000 hands at 1/2 Limit, I am +2.4 BB/100. (+$700)Having sufficient bankroll, I moved up to 2/4 Limit, starting by integrating one 2/4 table and two 1/2 tables...now two 2/4 tables.Through 3,000 hands at 2/4, I am -0.25 BB/100. (-$30)Do I have enough hands to conclude than I will win more at 1/2 right now than 2/4? I need to be at least +1.2 BB/100 at 2/4 to ma
  21. When I read this, I assumed it was talking about a cash game. In this case, there is no problem with this...you're free to give your chips to your wife if you want.But if I read it wrong and this is a tournament, this is extremely unethical. You MUST play to maximize your own prospects, not anyone else's. Anything else is cheating.
  22. Even counting his victory in the heads-up championship? I think he won more for that than one can spend on live tournament buy-in annually.
  23. You can't just tell everyone with this question to use Neteller. They do not accept customers from every state. I seem to remember using an electronic check to pay my deposit on Pacific Poker. I use Citadel for Party Poker and haven't had any problems.
  24. If you are a good player, your chance of cashing will increase the more players there are in the event.But, you won't make any decent profit just by cashing. You really need to win or at least finish in the top 3. For a $1,000 buy-in tournament, cashing usually only gets you $1,200 - $1,500. Online, you can make a decent profit by playing lots of tournaments with varied results, (some wins, some cashes, some final tables) but live, it really isn't very efficient to play well for two or three days and just come out of it up a couple hundred dollars. A "live tournament professional" really
×
×
  • Create New...