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Kestral123

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Everything posted by Kestral123

  1. You have to fold here in my opinion. This guy isn't very aggressive but he's moderately loose. Given that combination, it is almost a certainty that he has two pair or a set. I rule out J8 because he doesn't seem THAT loose. Your best case scenario is that he has A6 or A8, because you would then have 6-9 outs. If he has AJ, you only have 3 outs. If he has a set, you are drawing dead. Because of those other possibilities, you have to discount your outs; I'd say 4, maybe 5. On that basis, especially since a call also commits you to call the river (good old reverse implied odds), you are
  2. You are far more likely to be ahead than behind here. I think you check raise the flop and plan to lead out on the turn. How your opponent responds will give you much better read on where you stand. If your opponent reraises you on the flop or raises your lead on the turn, then you have to consider that you are likely behind unless you are playing a complete maniac or a chronic bluffer. Even so, without a read on the villain, if he keeps jamming I think you have to go into check-call mode and call it down. The pot will be far too big to fold and you will see a hand that you beat often eno
  3. Actually, you'd want him have a kicker less than 10 in order to reduce the straight possibilities.
  4. I have found that playing online helps my live play, but not the other way around (i.e. live has no discernible effect on my online play). The reason is because online you have to evaluate hands and make decisions very quickly and without the benefit of physical tells. In addition, particularly if you use tracking software, you have the ability to go back and review hands and critically evaluate your decisions.To me, that pressure and post-game analysis, as well as the process of evaluating hands based purely on hand values, pot odds, and betting patterns, helps my decision-making tremendous
  5. I actually thinking raising on the flop is a mistake here as well. You have two active players behind you. Since you have to be fairly sure you need to improve to win, and that your raise is going to get called, I think you're better off just calling. That way, you might keep one or two of the other active players in the pot, which makes your drawing odds better. Plus, you don't risk getting three bet.Of course, if you are heads up, I would agree with the raise to try for the free card.Just my $0.02 worth.
  6. do you have the A ? I'm raising here 90% of the time to 10-12xBB the other times I'm folding.It all comes down to your read. An aggressive player limping in suggests he doesn't have a big pair or AK or AQ. Also, if he's a decent player, he knows that his bet is giving anyone with a draw of their own the right odds to call, which suggests to me that he's either on a pure draw of his own, or he's got a big hand like two pair or a set and he's fishing for a check raise to run out the draws.IF you decide to raise, you have to raise to at least 12BB. If you only raise to 10BB, then you are givi
  7. do you have the A ? I'm raising here 90% of the time to 10-12xBB the other times I'm folding.It all comes down to your read. An aggressive player limping in suggests he doesn't have a big pair or AK or AQ. Also, if he's a decent player, he knows that his bet is giving anyone with a draw of their own the right odds to call, which suggests to me that he's either on a pure draw of his own, or he's got a big hand like two pair or a set and he's fishing for a check raise to run out the draws.IF you decide to raise, you have to raise to at least 12BB. If you only raise 10BB, then you are giving
  8. The point I was trying to make earlier is that the means of selection needs to be correlated with poker ability. The length of time you have been a member and the number of posts you have made bears no relation to your poker ability. (As an aside, I do agree that length might be a screening criteria for the sole purpose of filtering out shills.) Your number of posts correlates to nothing relevant here. I have been a member of this forum since early May, and have been reading it literally since day 1. Does the fact that I've only posted 6 (now 7) times have any relevance in determining whe
  9. I think a tournament is the best way to set our 25. Nomination essentially becomes a popularity contest. For instance, I read this forum regularly, but don't post often. I only play on UB (and rarely on PS), so most of you won't know who I am or how good a player I might be, even though I play tournaments daily and have a tournament ROI of 18% (and can submit PT stats to back this up). So, I'm a pretty good tourney player, but none of you would be likely to nominate me because you don't know me. I'm sure there are probably others out there that fit this same pattern, so I think we ought t
  10. This just happened in a NL cash game on UB:Player Who Lost: You get so lucky.Fish: It looks like luck, but it happens when you play every hand.I almost fell out of my chair.
  11. For reasons already stated by others: Raise the turn and check the river if you don't improve. Fold to a reraise on turn.
  12. For reasons already stated by others: Raise the turn and check the river if you don't improve. Fold to a reraise on turn.
  13. For reasons already stated by others: Raise the turn and check the river if you don't improve. Fold to a reraise on turn.
  14. There's a lot of money out there waiting to be taken. The two limpers have shown weakness, so I would pump it to 2,000 in an attempt to steal the money that's out there. That's a significant enough amount that you will either win the pot or find out pretty quickly that you are in trouble. I think putting all your chips in at this point kind of screams weakness, so that wouldn't be an option for me. If my raise gets called, I still have a chance to win the hand, or get away from it with some chips left.Exception: DN's quiz didn't suggest any read on the second limper, so that might affect
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