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Everything posted by econ_tim

  1. your line is fine sure you'll lose most of the time on the river, but you'll win often enough to call
  2. you don't need separate databasesNL stats are calculated the same way, but stats of winning NL players are a lot different than stats of winning limit players. look at the stickies in the various 2+2 NL forums for more detail.
  3. no, i wouldn't do that because there is always random misclick factori'm just saying i wouldn't lead this river if i were playing the boardbtw, some of you might be undercounting our outs on the turn. before discounting we have 3 queens, 3 nines, 4 eights and 2 treys.
  4. i think the flop call is ok ... i've probably got several outs and i should get at least an extra BB on average when i improve, and he will sometimes check the turn when i don't improveand the turn brings me more outs, although i'm getting worse odds
  5. Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: Hero is BB with 9, Q. 4 folds, SB raises, Hero calls.Flop: (4 SB) 5, 4, 6(2 players)SB bets, Hero calls.Turn: (3 BB) 7(2 players)SB bets, Hero calls.River: (5 BB) 8(2 players)SB bets, Hero raises, raising here is pretty standard vs. party donks, RIGHT??? but a good player would not bet a worse hand than mine on this river.am i . . .a.) an idiotb.)running badc.) an idiot who is running bad
  6. i'd bet -- i think the villain shows you 7x, 4x, or a small PP a little more often than Kx or Qx.i'd also fold if he raises unless you've seen him make bizarre river plays before.
  7. my equity on this flop vs. a random hand (which i think is a fair approximation) is 55% -- maybe C/R is good move if villain always bets this flop
  8. Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: econ_tim is SB with 9, Q. UTG posts a blind of $3. 2 folds, econ_tim completes, UTG (poster) checks.Flop: (2 SB) A, 7, 5(3 players)econ_tim checks, UTG bets, econ_tim calls.Turn: (2 BB) Q(3 players)econ_tim checks, UTG bets, econ_tim calls.River: (4 BB) 7(3 players)econ_tim checks, UTG bets, econ_tim calls.Final Pot: 6 BBhow often do you open limp from the SB? with what types of hands and against which opponents? i know screech posted an article that mentioned open-limpin
  9. i remember some old threads asking whether the lottery is ever +EV.here is a page with a good, but complicated answer http://www.stat.umn.edu/~charlie/lottery/
  10. Party PokerLimit Holdem Ring gameLimit: $3/$66 playersConverterPre-flop: (6 players) econ_tim is BB with A Q UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, CO folds, Button calls, SB calls, econ_tim raises, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Button calls, SB calls.Flop: 7 9 8 (5SB, 5 players)SB checks, econ_tim bets, 2 folds, Button raises, SB calls, econ_tim 3-bets, Button caps, SB calls, econ_tim calls.Turn: Q (8.5BB, 3 players)SB checks, econ_tim bets, Button calls, SB calls.River: 6 (11.5BB, 3 players)SB bets, econ_tim
  11. hard to say, but mason malmuth says that when the poker boom began, 2+2 wasn't able to keep up with demand and certain books were sold out while they waited to print more copies.
  12. some good repliesfirst, i agree that K2s isn't a must steal handif i don't have a read on the BB, i like to test him by stealing with marginal hands . . . if he plays back, then i narrow my stealing range.i thought about the hand some more last night, and i don't really like the 3-bet unless i have a specific read that BB bluff raises flops a lot in these situations but will fold the turn if i resist. a safe play against straigtforward players is to bet/call the flop and check/fold the turn UI. again, maybe this is folding too many pairs in the blind. against more creative players, we can ju
  13. Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: econ_tim is BB with 6, 8. 2 folds, CO raises, Button calls, 1 fold, econ_tim calls.Flop: (6.33 SB) 3, A, 9(3 players)econ_tim checks, CO bets, Button folds, econ_tim calls.Turn: (4.16 BB) 8(2 players)econ_tim checks, CO bets, econ_tim raises, . . .I don't think this move is right very often, but this is a great board to try it.
  14. 3/6 six handedI have K 2 in the SB.Folded to me, I open, BB calls.Flop is 2 8 7 I bet, BB raises, I 3-bet, BB calls.Turn is 8 I . . .Brand new PT database and BB is unknown.I know some people never fold in blind battles when they have any piece of the board as a rule. I don't believe that is optimal, but I also don't think much expectation is gained by folding showdownable hands in these situations.Here my hand is pretty bad, but if villain is raising overs, etc on this flop he is definitely calling the 3-bet, and maybe calling down w/A-high. On the other hand, such a player would 3-be
  15. assuming liz liu is not a total donk, 1.5 to 1 would give a pretty good overlay. even the world's best player doesn't have huge edge on a competent mid-stakes player.
  16. even a tight villain should know how to steal blinds at these levels. without a specific read on his blind play, i like your line.
  17. Sometimes we want to wait for a safe turn card to raise, but this is because raising a safe turn makes it too expensive for draws to call correctly.Waiting for the river to raise doesn't have the same justification since hands are no longer drawing. They either made it or they didn't. If villain is semibluffing a hand like J T , then he will call a turn raise, but fold to a river raise. If his hand is really strong, he will lead the river after we cap the turn and we can just call. If he has a marginal hand, he might check/call.Compar these possible outcomes to what happens when we call
  18. if you have a router, then you can connect both computers to a network and put the old PT files in a shared folder.if you don't have a router, the you can use http://beta.yousendit.com/ to send files up to 2GB.i'm pretty sure you'll need to install PT again on the new computer, and you'll need a new registration key, which you can get by e-mailing PT. for PAHUD, install it on the new machine and use the registration code that was e-mailed to you when you got PAHUD on your old machine.
  19. these aren't used to create the stats you see in pokertracker, but you will need them if you want to replay a hand These could be valid concerns. I have been able to get all of the relevant PT info by copying just the mdb file before, although I opened it with Access instead of PT (because I didn't have PT on the other computer).Luckily, almost everything from my hard drive was backed up, except for a couple months of poker hands.
  20. look in c:\program files\Poker Tracker V2and copy the file name ptrack.mdb to an external hard drive/zip disk/dvd/etc.
  21. I think the decision is closer then. I hate the K, but I would probably call down.
  22. sorry, but most everything you said is wrong.don't worry about losing $100 at 2/4 unless it causes you to get upset and make bad plays.
  23. Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: econ_tim is SB with A, 4. 3 folds, econ_tim raises, BB calls.Flop: (4 SB) T, Q, 9(2 players)econ_tim checks, BB bets, econ_tim folds.Final Pot: 2.50 BBhands like this are part of the reason you should sometimes check made hands
  24. Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: econ_tim is SB with J, J. UTG raises, 3 folds, econ_tim 3-bets, 1 fold, UTG caps, econ_tim calls.Flop: (9 SB) K, 2, 2(2 players)econ_tim checks, UTG bets, econ_tim calls.Turn: (5.50 BB) Q(2 players)econ_tim checks, UTG bets, econ_tim folds.Final Pot: 6.50 BBi think this is my only line vs a normal opponent
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