Jump to content

Makata

Members
  • Content Count

    117
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Makata

  1. I shudder at the thought of writing this reply, because I am almost certain you won't truly understand it, much less care, and will simply give a flippant reply like you always do ..But limit is not some bastard child of no limit that has to ride the short bus and wear a helmet. There is a fundamental difference in the strategy with the games.I'm going to guess (accurately too) that you're one of those people who get happy in the pants from shoving your chips. You'd rather poker degenerate into a "who has the bigger cajones" contest, with anyone who isn't as hardcore as you losing all their mo
  2. I think you overbet the pot significantly on flop and turn, leading EP to think you'll call anything on the river, meaning he very likely does have something like 88. On the turn, the only thing that's calling you has you beat, you simply don't have to bet that much.Er .. mixed up pot size and bet size for turn, so your bet was correct, though I still think you ran a simple TP too hard. You generally have to give your opponents' credit for some kind of holding when they call you on flop and turn, and it's really up to a read on the river to decide if he's trying to move you off the pot or not.
  3. Makata

    qq

    Would you then fold to a raise? No? Then why do you need to find out where you are? I've never understood the notion of betting for information, getting said information, and not using it at all.I would however advise betting/calling down to a raise though not "to see where you are" but because you're winning alot of the time here.
  4. At the expense of sounding results oriented, that is exactly why you shouldn't shove.While your chip position may be a bit weak, you have to consider the fact that JKo is just not a good hand and there's a very good chance you're going to get called and beaten. I think waiting for a couple hands to try and take the blinds with position would have been a far better option.This of course is assuming you don't hit. If you do then you could very easily get more chips than if you had just shoved pre, as when JK hits its very often winning. Plus there's the bluff factor. On that flop SB could have c
  5. There's absolutely nothing wrong with calling with the possibility of folding on the flop. If he shoves, there's very little chance that player will fold, and JJ is far from the best possible hand. If by calling you get to see a flop of AK4, you can be pretty confident you are losing to 98% of hands that will reraise you and you get to keep the rest of your chips. Conversely if the flop is rags, there's a very reasonable chance he'd call the shove w/ AK/AQ/TT.Shoving PF is not the correct play. There's 4 betting rounds, why use only 1?As for the hand itself, you simply got a great second best
  6. Didn't read the whole thing just the first couple hands, but a comment:Fish aren't generally aggressive. Even with large out draws they just check/call them or bet some low low amount. I saw a very sizable amount of betting, and that's simply not in a fish's nature. If you ever raise with anything below top set, then you're (probably) just playing good poker, not emulating weak play.
  7. If it was like 30/60 and you had tight reads on the raisers, then sure, muck it. But it's 0.25/0.5. If someone has A8 they will never stop raising on that flop, that's an EASY call. I honestly think that if one of them has AA KK 88 22 or 33 then shucks oh well .. but it's so worth all calls, and in fact I'd think you should lead out on turn. You're winning ALOT of the time here.
  8. I've seen it happen too but in an even more restricted way. Ages ago I had 33 in the sb, someone raised it, pot was maybe 4 or 5 way, I decided to call, flop was 336. I of course won .. but the interesting thing was on the very next hand (which I didn't play) the flop was again 336. We were joking "yea someone has quad 3's again!"Well I was SB when i hit quads. On the end, the SB in the next hand flips over 33, and I don't think anyone could believe that on 2 consecutive hands:- The flop was 336- The SB called any pre-flop raises- The SB had 33 in the hole, and (of course) won.The odds on THAT
  9. I've seen it happen too but in an even more restricted way. Ages ago I had 33 in the sb, someone raised it, pot was maybe 4 or 5 way, I decided to call, flop was 336. I of course won .. but the interesting thing was on the very next hand (which I didn't play) the flop was again 336. We were joking "yea someone has quad 3's again!"Well I was SB when i hit quads. On the end, the SB in the next hand flips over 33, and I don't think anyone could believe that on 2 consecutive hands:- The flop was 336- The SB called any pre-flop raises- The SB had 33 in the hole, and (of course) won.The odds on THAT
  10. The probability of a statistic being incorrect is 4:3.
  11. Although I can't speak from either experience or certainty, I'm guessing that's a symptom of a B&M casino tournies .. they have to pay dealers, and hands go much slower and honestly they probably don't make a whole lot of extra profit over ring play. 5 hours, 98 players posting $10, that's $196 an hour of at least 10 tables (at the start). I'm guessing that comes out roughly to about $38 a table an hour, and I'm guessing that's not even as good as a 5/10 rake, so I honestly can't blame them for fast blind structures.As far as the hands go .. I think hand 1 you CAN push but only if you were
  12. Capping pre is silly.Flop raise is good only if you're trying to isolate. Your hand will not be the best one here most of the time.Raise the turn obviously, he has no reasonable hand that beats you. Only way is if he simply got lucky w/ AA (lucky in the sense the case fell), or is just an idiot who luck-sacked A5.Slow down if rr'ed otherwise lead riv.I personally hate being aggressive with just overs as in the lower limits some idiot always has a low pair and wins, but I don't consider your play bad either except you didnt put in a raise once you hit your 6 outter.
  13. I think call PF is the best way to go. The difference between 1300 and 1600 is not crucial. Reraise is pretty bad overall unless you're possitive the limper is going to fold. Short stacks often take unneeded risks in tournaments.However the way you played it, you reraised to 800, UTG shoved for 1075 total, and button would have come in for 1600 total (effectively) to you, making you 800 to call. With 3475 in the pot and 800 to go, you'd have to be possitive you're either up against AA or KK, or that one of the two players has AK exactly and the other a pp. For these I'll assume your suit was h
  14. Also might not qualify due to the fact you were a 2 to 45 dog on the flop.
  15. You're doing your math wrong. This would only be correct if it were never the case that if one fish had a better hand than you, no one else did. This of course is impossible for 9 players, let alone 2. In actuality, if you want to say you're a 9 to 1 favorite to each player individually, then you simply have to beat all 9 individually to win .. which is 0.9^9 or about 0.38. In other words, even if all 9 players has a 10% chance of beating you, they collectively only have ~62% chance of beating you. This is why raising a hand such as AA, even from early position still remains profitable in NL,
  16. I don't get this part. If you consider him to be bluffing, why not raise? This might also ultimately get him to fold a 5 or some 7's. However based off what you said about him, do you think he would make this bet without hitting a pair? If he has any of the 9 5s, 7s, or Ts, then you have only 3 outs to win the hand. I know you think I'm too weak/tight, but I'd be interested on how you thought calling would be better than either raising or folding, read dependant?
  17. What you say IS true. If someone keeps calling you as the 4 to 1 dog, over some indefinately long period of time you will eventually profit. The only problem comes when the short term luck starts to become overwhelming. I'm in much of the same position as that guy; I believe I play winning poker yet on a relatively consistant basis the improbable happens. It is part of the game and I do try to move on, but there isn't some infinite money well that I can keep dropping a bucket into.In reality, there's nothing that forces your +EV plays to win over time. I'm personally past the bad beat sob phas
  18. Overall I think I agree with the title of your post.
  19. With 2 potential straight draws on the flop, I would tend to think bottom pair wouldn't raise on this flop. However if it turns out he did have A3s, then you simply have to say nh and wait for the oppurtunity for him to pay you back.
  20. I agree that checking is a worse play than a bet. If you were responding to me, I advocated a smaller bet, not a check.However I don't think you have to have bottom 2 to checkraise/check though. I think having either a great draw (TJh) or a boat+ could also do the same thing. TJh could checkraise knowing it has bare minimum 6, and almost always 15 outs, even up to 21 if pairing is good. The turn A tells TJh (if hero had had that instead) that leading the turn might not be the best idea if other player has a strong ace, as it would likely get raised.Furthermore, if hero had something like A8 or
  21. Ks and Js are already exposed and you have the Ts, so I agree that the only way he can have a flush is if he has AQs and simply tried to out bet you on the flop. It would be virtually impossible to raise 9Qs or 9As unless he's incredibly LAG.I think you should c/r the turn. In addition to flopped top pair, you've picked up a good flush draw. The river is definately worth another bet. You have the third nuts at the moment, and it's borderline impossible for him to have a better hand short of the aforementioned AQs. If you actually lost this hand so some crap such as 3Qs, try not to be discourag
  22. 2 seperate incidents..First I hit a luck streak at 5/10 short handed. Every other hand seemed to give me 2 broadway cards, and most of the time they were either suited or pairs. Normally I'm not one to even think of playing TJh aggressively but I was just riding the wave. I still remember thinking to myself, "I bet I hit a full house on this" so I raised. Most of the people at my table were getting pretty pissed at me by this point, and late position reraised and BB capped, I call of course, flop TJx, I get it capped w/ late position, turn J. I c/r him and he calls, and both bb and late call r
  23. I don't care what the rake is I would call there every time. People who do stuff like that piss me off 100 times more than the ones that chase unimaginable draws. As another poster commented, when broadway's on the board, no flushes and people are betting it is highly, HIGHLY aggrivating. I can understand the logic in that there MIGHT be an idiot who folds, but I personally do not care.
  24. While I agree with your logic, it just seems to me like you're setting yourself up for a potential disaster. If you've already agreed to fold to a raise, then he could have free reign to bluff at you here. For instance, would you have played something like AT-AK, A8, A9, 88, or 99 this way? Throwing in so much money while virtually guaranteed to be ahead would seem like a waste. He might pick up on the fact you are simply trying to protect your hand from a draw.Also, if he happens to have a weak ace, he could very easily just call behind, and not raise. Then how do you approach the river?While
  25. Even at higher limits I still think this is a raise. As was said before, they will have correct odds to draw regardless of raise or not, and if SB is truly that wild, make him put in alot of money.My guess is SB truly thought his hand was good on the river since you hadn't shown a lot of aggression yet. I have a feeling if you had capped turn, he would have either check/called or bet/called river, but you might have gotten lucky and scooped another full 3 BB's from each.
×
×
  • Create New...