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Lord Ben

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Posts posted by Lord Ben

  1. I figured the bets were okay. But should have I have pushed in right away knowing I'd be called by the chip leader since I had too few to bluff him off it. Or was my attempt at seeing the flop cheap a bad move since it didn't discourage anyone else from jumping in?

  2. Blinds are 300/600, will be 400/800 by the time I'm in big blind (6 minutes left in the 40 minute round). I have 4800 in chips (8x BB, or 6xBB once the blind flips). People usually say short stacked is less than 10x the big blind.The guy in 1st position (chip leader with 29,000) raises to 1600, it comes around to me. I had AJ, I thought about folding it since the other guy might have a pair, but since he's a chip leader he could afford a raise with any two paint. I know he'll call if I go all-in so I just called the 1600 (possible mistake). The guy acting after me, who was also short stacked, went all in for about 8k. The chip leader folded and it was to me. I called the last 3200 worth of chips since I know the guy who went all in and he said during the last break that he's going all in on Ax next time he gets it since he didn't want to get blinded out and wanted to go out with a bang instead of dying slowly.Was it wrong to just call when on short stack? I figured that if an A, a J, or 3 rags hit on the flop I could go all in and feel against the chip leader and feel secure in my bet. If a K, Q, or T hit I could fold to his bet or check it down and still have 3000 left to play with if I lost. I wanted to only call him since I thought for sure he would call me and why spend more than I have to in order to see the flop first? I didn't think anyone else would go over the top.I was right in my reads, chip leader had KQ and the reraiser had AT. However a T hit on the river and I lost the rest of my chips. I feel good about my reads, but wasn't sure if I should have bet more or if I was in a hopeless position. In this case I would have lost either way, but in the long run the cards will come up different.

  3. I just like the ones that are 5 off the bubble and in the BB (half their stack) and they fold to a 2XBB raise.   Then next hand they're in SB (again half their stack) and they fold.  Boy they really want to eek into that money don't they! lol.
    That's not that bad. I folded A3 suited last wednesday and waited another hand before being blinded out and it earned me $70.
    You know what I mean... I doubt you were 5 off the bubble or whatever. I'm saying these people have pot odds to call with any 2 and they fold hoping like a dozen people will get knocked out before them. lol.
    I like it when people assume I'm chicken and raise with anything because they think I'll fold. I do a lot, but if I catch a legit hand I have no problems pushing in.
  4. I just like the ones that are 5 off the bubble and in the BB (half their stack) and they fold to a 2XBB raise.   Then next hand they're in SB (again half their stack) and they fold.  Boy they really want to eek into that money don't they! lol.
    That's not that bad. I folded A3 suited last wednesday and waited another hand before being blinded out and it earned me $70.
  5. Suckout?  Daniel just checked his QQ and the kid went all in on a legit hand.   The kid probably expected Daniel to have Ax or something and wanted to win it right there.  I'm sure he wasn't thrilled by the call either.  It was a semi-bluff, he got called and hit the semi-part which might seem lucky to some.However to me a 35% chance of taking out Negranu is better than trying to outplay him.   I'll roll the dice for that.
    Not so...Daniel bet his QQ and the kid raised allin.
    Sure, he bet it after just checking and after a crap flop. Daniel could have easily been bluffing.
  6. Suckout? Daniel just checked his QQ and the kid went all in on a legit hand. The kid probably expected Daniel to have Ax or something and wanted to win it right there. I'm sure he wasn't thrilled by the call either. It was a semi-bluff, he got called and hit the semi-part which might seem lucky to some.However to me a 35% chance of taking out Negranu is better than trying to outplay him. I'll roll the dice for that.

  7. I know I'm paraphrazing here, but doesn't Sklansky suggest something like this when playing against a maniac:Call more, raise less, and bet your hands for value more.No matter what, leave the ego at the door, because there's no prize for winning the most aggressive player award. I've heard they hand out prizes for finishing in the top couple spots though. Any truth to this?
    Is that with limit or no-limit? Just calling puts me nearly all-in.Any hand I play I have to essentially go all-in on to see all the cards. Her standard reaises were 500 preflop, 1000 at the turn, and 2000 at the river. That's nearly my entire stack just to see all the cards. I wasn't getting great cards, but some were good enough to see the flop on (AK a few times but never panned out). 500 per flop and it gets my 4k short stacked real fast.
  8. A few months ago I was playing in a tourney and directly across from me on the table where a few people who were playing super aggressive. I am pretty sure they were mostly bluffing. It was good Friday and they had off of work and were drinking most of the day (one won the AM tourney and had been drinking away her winnings until the PM tourney). They weren't bad players, but just drunk and aggressive. Hard to read them too since their expressions were saying "I'm drunk" rather than that they were bluffing or had the nuts.I screwed up and played them badly, and I put a lot of thought into how to play against super aggressive players. Not sure if I'm right though, I haven't gotten the chance to test out any of my theories. I wasn't used to playing with someone aggressive. Usually I'm one of the most aggressive people at the table and people fear me. It was a complete turnabout for me. What should I do? Wait until they push in a sizeable bet preflop when I'm holding something semi-decent like AQ and push all in? Hopefully they were bluffing and will fold, if not hope the AQ holds up? This isn't a good long term strategy, but they may not keep pushing into me all night long. This is what I plan on doing next time, make a stand and show them that I can't be pushed around all night.Wait until I flop the nuts and double up? It's a near 100% guarantee that If I slowplay I'll take down a monster pot. This is what I tried to do, but I never got a good enough hand post flop. I got down to short stack and lost the rest in an all-in coin flip. The tourney is fairly short with a quick blind schedule so I couldn't afford to wait too long.Something else I haven't thought of?

  9. Are you telling me that the casino's will decide having 10,000 people who like to gamble in their casino is a bad idea ever? Hell no, it's a business and 10,000 people may mean it takes a bigger degree of luck to win and might make the tourney victory more friendly towards one of the lucky 10000 satillite winners but that many people floating around in Vegas for a week has a huge economic impact.

  10. Don't laugh, yesterday I was doing some google searches for satillite tourneys and one of the searches turned up some old forum postings on a site from like 2000. A guy named fossilman was dishing out advice to various people on strategy, etc. He talked about how you need to do X if you ever hope to win the WSOP. I'm sure some people laughed at him too back then.You never know which one of us will win it in the future.

  11. About me being a genious player? Sort of both. When I'm at the table faced with 7 other guys I always assume I'm the best. It helps me stay aggressive. But logically I know I'm not the best player in the world. But I like to fool myself. I'll just settle with knowing I'm the best $20 homegame player in the world... :club:

  12. Not to be a dick, but would you really call an all in early in the tourney with a 40% chance of busting out of the tourney? Personally if we were playing with cards face up I'd still fold that one.Personally if I'm faced with a player and I know for sure that 40% of the time I'll be going home at the end of the hand I'm pretty likely to fold anyway. I like to think that I can make up the loss by being the aggressor and sticking it to people in other hands. For instance if I didn't have a flush draw I'd have folded and he'd have gone on to win a 3k pot vs the other guy who was maybe holding mid-pair or a straight draw. Of course if they know that they'll go over the top of me every time, so eventually you have to call.

  13. What are the blinds? 100/200, 5k starting chips. How many limpers preflop? What positions? 5 limpers for sure (that I remember). A bad player in mid position, an aggressive/loose player to the right of the dealer (big stack), the dealer, the small blind and the big blind (2nd highest stack).How big is the pot post-flop? 1000, 5 limpers x 200Did anyone bet into me? How much? No, the person in question bet first. small blind folded, the person in question bet 1000, mid postition guy called the 1000, and the guy to the right of the dealer went all in. The dealer and SB both folded leaving you with 1, possibly 2 other people in the pot with you if you call the all in, depending on if the mid position guy also folds.How much more to call the all-in? Roughly 5000 more, I (or the big stack) called the 1000 and made a pot sized reraise which put anyone else all-in.Any reads on this player? No, he's a genius player, J/K. Actually I, or the big stack, play pretty aggressively and like to push people around. A semi-bluff is not out of the question. He's been using his stack to his advantage since winning a big pot early. He's seen lots of flops, but also he's shown down some monster hands. This is his first time going all in for the evening.What level of the tourney? How many spots pay? 30 players, about 20 left, it's the end of round 3. 6 spots pay, the 6th is just giving the buyin back.

  14. Rocket, the math is pretty easy. But only IF you know what to punch in. First you need to figure out your chances of winning the pot (you don't know this at the table). In my case I figure I'd only win if a club hit, so about 40% or so. Then you need to try and guestimate how often your opponent will fold. I figured he wasn't willing to gamble on his pair of 9's so I put the chance of him folding pretty high (in my mind it's higher than 50%). Then you just need to figure out how much you'll win or lose in all the various situations and tally them up.The easiest way to tally them up is to take the amount you'll win or lose and multiply it by the % chance you have of that particular event happening. Then add up all the various things and that's what you'll win/lose over 100 hands of playing the same thing over and over. However it can be wrong if you're reads are wrong. For instance if the guy with a pair of 9's actually was bluffing to get the 1000 already in the pot he'll never call my all in and I'll win every single time. Or if he hit trip 9's he'll probably call 90%+ times. So your reads need to be right too.

  15. If they fold 50% of the time (I win 3000), call and lose 20% of the time (I win 8k), and call and win 30% of the time (I lose 6k) then the math is basically that I'll win money 70% of the time.Now assume that we do the scenario 10 times.I'll win 15k by them folding, and I'll win 16k by them calling and losing. If they call and get outdrawn I'll lose 18k. Over the course of 10 hands I'll be up 13k in chips. 20% of the time I'll eliminate a player, and 30% of the time I'll still have 6-7k left in chips even if I lose which still makes me 2nd in chip position (we essentially swap places).I like the odds personally.

  16. now change the question saba... how about this..."Who on this site would fold TPTK to a flush draw when they know that if they win they will have a cake-walk to a first place finish?"trust me, I don't feel the need to post it to daniel....Me and SabaAba were having a discussion in the other thread... and he felt the need to ask Daniel... I really am not sure about you guys... but I like winning tournaments not "hanging on" long enough to finish in third.... so to me, being 2nd in chips, and having a 65% chance of doubling up against the chip leader.... yeah, that sounds like a good play to me.
    Even if he would have won there would still be 20 people and 150,000 in chips in play, of which he'd have about 12,000. Hardly a cakewalk to 1st place. If you lose you're out.
  17. Since the post really took off I'll explain the situation a little bit better. I think I'm the best player on the table (I ended up winning 1st out of 29). The guy 2nd in chips is probably 2nd best. I won the 12000 by taking down a few semi-decent pots of 1-2k each. No suckage doubling down. This all in play by me was the first of the evening (for me) and the last until the final table when I was short stacked. So I don't do it often. I was sitting to the right of the dealer so I could fold my A8 if I didn't hit anything and maybe bluff and take it down if I did. The player with A9 was big blind. I don't regret limping into a lot of pots early in the tourney trying to catch hands against the fish. I could afford it. The pot was about 3000, any bet would have put everyone all in. Just calling means I piss away 1000 at a time without the chance of a fold. I wasn't willing to do that. In previous hands when holding a good hand I'd make a pot sized bet (typically 700 or so) and either collect when people folded or end up winning it in the show down (sometimes losing, but it was working in the long run). In this situation with the 2 people betting 1000 each the pot was 3000 and any chance of winning it by having people fold would basically be an all in bet to them. So I was faced with betting big or folding because I didn't want to just call. I knew he'd bet again after the turn and I didn't want to chase cards. I wanted to be aggressive and commit to winning the pot now or drawing down on it, or I wanted to fold and just let them duke it out. Since he was a skilled player, I figured he'd fold in the 30 player tourney with 20 people left in the game. No sense in risking his 2nd place chip stack on A9 which is what I put him on.

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