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Posts posted by Rocketwadster

  1. Here's the skinny on this whole mess, from a non-bias perspective (at least I think I am not biased one way or the other, as I have great respect for Daniel and Howard, however, I have very little for the defendant, but she is not the focus of my comments, just the catalyst):Daniel has had problems with Howard in the past (from back in the day regarding Annie). For Daniel to take Howard's side (even though it is most likely through Daniel's associations with many other members of FTP and not because Daniel and Howard are chums), with such vigor and gusto, proclaiming how off the wall the lawsuit is, speaks volumes in my opinion. Daniel has been known to say the first things that enter his mind, regardless of the consequences, many times in the past, however, his gut-reaction comments have seemingly not hurt him in the long run before, and I don't see these particular comments hurting him in this instance either. If I am not mistaken, Daniel made many disparaging comments in the past concerning Doyle and Chip (regarding them being partners/possibly cheaters), and yet Doyle is constantly (playfully) making fun of Daniel's golf game in his blog, so perhaps Daniel has patched things up with Howard (like he seems to have done with Doyle). Nevertheless, even if Daniel and Howard are still at odds, for Daniel to take Howard's side must imply that it is fairly cut and dry in regards to what the defendant is owed from FTP.As for the plaintiff, it appears that the lawsuit has not hindered her tournament poker game at all these past few months, as she has been on a tear. Sure, she may have lost some sponsorship for tourney costs (however, if I recall the case correctly, she claims she was not provided with much of anything all this time anyhow). Not sure of the exact timeline of the beginning of the end for her with FTP, but it probably had something to do with an episode of Poker After Dark where she admitted to cheating in a game (can't recall the exact details, but that was when I lost the little bit of respect I had for her, as it seemed like she was only a known "pro" due to her (somewhat questionable) good looks). Mind you, I may be getting her confused with someone else that was on that episode, so if it wasn't her, I apologize for any confusion or harm this may have caused. Nor do I know what romantic ties she may have had with any members of FTP that may have caused the split (I love gossip though and would love to hear some "true" details). For her to go our on such a limb would indicate that she either honestly believes she is owed something, or she is indeed bat-shit crazy. Should she end up losing the case, I fear the worst may end up happening, which would definately not be good for anyone involved, directly or indirectly.Bottom line is that if someone was owed something from someone else, they should receive it, and if they were not owed owed it, shame on them for trying to steal something that they were not entitled to.

  2. i quit posting because i quit o8.partially because i have apparently lost my ability to win with the best hand when the money goes in, partially because LHE is softer these days. :club:
    I had no idea that what I had was contagious. Sorry for infecting...
  3. At the low limits, two pair hands and set hands are going to call two bets regardless, so you may as well raise it up to build the pot while you have the current nuts IMO. The only hands that are going to fold are non-nut diamond draws and any hands that were going low on the flop. You want the non-nut diamond draws out just in case (cant get the nut-diamond draw out IMO regardless).

  4. I don't think you have any fold equity in the hand (at those stakes, with those stacks), so Im not sure about the push (meaning what does it do but ensures that you see all 5 cards). A small case could be made for just calling here, perhaps saving you a bit of money if a scare card comes (ie. board pairs), since you aren't really drawing to the nuts here at all (an offsuit 8 would give you the current nuts, but he may still have redraws that are better than yours (nut flush draw, two pair/set, etc.).I would have rather check/called the flop, or led out and called the raise (keeping the pot small while we have a rather weak hand right now, but with potential).

  5. Been perusing my old posts from back in the day, and found quite possibly the single greatest post about SNG's pertaining to PLO8 in the history of mankind. I'm not very tech-savvy, so I don't know how to show a link to the article, but suggest that everyone, and I do mean everyone, do a search for one of my old posts called "The Typical Bubble Hand" from the tournament forum. It will change your life (and improve your SNG results)...You can all thank me later... :club:

  6. As I am sure you are aware, the optimal strategy for SNG's (regardless of the game), is to play for third place, and go from there. Howard Lederer has a good article (from Full Tilt tips - not on his website), which discusses the how's (tight early, fast late) and why's - which you allude to in your OP that you are following, which is good. However, your late strategy leaves much to the imagination, and while I agree it would be near impossible to describe each and every situation as to what you are doing, it appears that you need to also include high only hands in your aggressive "late" strategy. I myself learned this a while ago to my benefit from these very forums - (check the older posts as they are a wealth of information), as I had similar experiences back in the day where I thought I was playing optimally in the late stages, but in fact was actually too tight (due to not getting involved with the high only hands).Excellent reference material would be to look up posts from guys like JackKingOffsuit or CheckyMcFold (but don't say I sent ya...)

  7. The concept of pushing or pulling is very relevant here, as you have a very good drawing hand, so do you want to push people out of the pot, or pull them in? Note: There is a very good article in the lastest issue of 2+2 internet magazine which discusses (albeit in limit O8) how best to proceed against 2 opponents when you have nut-low draw and top two pair with low wheel draw (this example is nut-low draw and nut-flush draw with low wheel draw- but the similarities are relevant).I'm pretty sure that the min-raise was there due to the presence of the 2 on the flop. If you had a naked ace-two, you would probably (in his mind) have to fold (even though its only $0.50), thereby reducing the chances that you could catch runner runner to win part of (if not the whole) pot.

  8. I am very surprised by the lack of responses to the "Ribbo" comments I placed in this topic, as I believe that the concepts he discusses are very relavent to hands such as this. I thought for sure that there would be tons of back and forth discussions, but alas, no. Maybe I'll copy some of Rolf Slotboom's articles and see how they fare...lol

  9. Look at winning pots with non-nut hands.
    The problem here is that many times when you have non-nut hands, the nut hand is out there against you, especially multi-way. For example, I lost three $100 buy-ins in 3 laps with second-nut flush with nut low (quartered as nut flush was there with nut low - 2 players), nut straight with second-nut flush re-draw and second nut-low (lost it all when nut low and nut flush got there 2-players), and second nut flush with second nut low (lost to nut flush and nut low - 2 players). My hands would be considered huge, and while I haven't checked the math to see what my percentages could have been, they had to be good against the ranges of my opponents. lost of money to be made at this game, I agree, but the fluctuations can be huge.
  10. yep. this is why a hand like 2346 is so good in a raised multiway pot. the situation on the flop in the hand i posted was significantly different though. in retrospect it was a dumb hand to post, as its very obvious his call is horrible against my range even though in this instance his call was mathematically correct against my hand.
    I agree that the hand you posted is differnt (in that there were only two cards to a low on board on the flop), but the concepts that Ribbo talks about are very similar, in that this flop is not a great flop (its good, but not great) for your hand when you think about it, even though you have the nuts right now.
  11. I have found that with a monster starting hand like yours, rather than completing there, you will get more money in the pot early by just putting in the bring-in, as someone almost always completes for you, allowing for a possible raise. If on a failry "calling-station" type table though (which it seems you may be based on some of the action), completing right out is great too.On fourth street, you commented that you wanted to get money in the pot. Why not cap it then when it comes back to you. Don't see anybody going anywhere, so build it up.Rest is good.

  12. Regardless of whether its Stud Hi/Lo and Horse Stud Hi/Lo, I still think folding third, while crazy at first, is best in the long run with your cards the way they are (move the ace from the hole to your doorcard, and EVERYTHING changes). Play for the scoop boys, not chasing half...

  13. From Ribbo (I copied and pasted it - hope he doesn't mind - his website ribbo.com is free to look at, so I wouldn't think it to be a problem)Bad Flops that look like Good FlopsTuesday, 24th January, 2006 You hold AAKQThe flop comes A48. You would be surprised at the number of players who lose their roll on this flop in a game of pot limit omaha/8This is one of the worst flops for new players to have. They have nut high on the flop and they are always told to protect their hand. However what becomes immediately obvious is that should there be a showdown, at no point can they win more than 50% of the pot. What this means heads-up is if on the flop, turn and river you bet a total of $200, you can get back, no more than $200. Doesn't look like a very good prospect to me. What you need to do is check and fold to a pot bet. If someone makes a very small bet, then sure tag along for the ride. You might hit your full house and find people go to war on low, but if anyone bets a significant amount of the pot (say higher than 20% on the flop) then you should simply fold. The main reason for this is that there are too many cards on the turn that can hit which makes it impossible for you to call any bet on a later street.On an A48 flop, any 23567 makes a straight the nut high. When you have a return of no greater than 50%, you should not bet, you do not want to be building a pot where you cannot scoop. On the river should say a 9 and king hit, then you will still have the nut high. At this point you can bet as your return is a minimum 100% of any bet you make, it increases depending on you betting either big and hoping no players call, small and hoping multiple players call, or big and hoping multiple players call. How you should bet is dependant on the style of the game, but if you have gotten to the river with this hand, then it's fairly safe to say it's a tight passive game and a small bet hoping to get many callers is your best chance. Wintermute found this out to his cost just recently when we were both sat in the same game. He limped in with AA and 2 high cards with my good self sat in the small blind.We saw a flop of As 2s 6d. I held 2d 3d 3s 4s. 7 people saw the flop for $4 each with myself first to act. Being first in this position I don't want to give my hand away. I have nut low with a small flush draw, more importantly I have two of the 3's in the deck, this means someone else holding nut low is less likely. I don't want to lead out the betting, I would much prefer someone with a high hand to bet out so I can flat call, hopefully getting some other callers along the way. My plan is to build the pot, then bet out my low once the pot is large and hope for a scare card to hit so I can bet large again and force high to fold the best hand and let me scoop. Anyway I digress, Wintermute bet the pot with his AAA, I flat call for $28, everyone else folded. On the flop straight away my minimum return is 50%, Wintermute's maximum return is 50%. From the flop onwards any money put into the pot by myself I am guaranteed back, any money Wintermute puts in doesn't earn him a cent and has a considerable chance of losing it all. The turn comes and it is a 9, not improving my hand. I should now bet here. If I check I would expect Wintermute to check behind me, since he should know I have a good hand here and if he bets, it's extremely unlikely I will fold since I called on the flop with 5 players after me still to act which suggests a VERY strong hand. So I should bet, because firstly I am probably freerolling my opponent and secondly if he does have 34, my pair of threes is probably good for high (stupid as it may seem). I expect to scoop with a 5 or a spade though. Wintermute calls. Some may say this is a good call because he has correct odds (he needs 33.3% or better, he actually has 37.5% equity). This is not true, because this assumes that he will make the correct decision on the river 100% of the time. If the river is a 5 and I bet $30 can he fold? If the river is a spade and I bet $30 can he fold? If the river is a 3, 4, 7,8 or ten and I bet the pot, can he correctly call each time? The river was a 3, I bet the pot of just shy of $230, Wintermute had a long think before passing. He knew I was on low by my bet on the turn, and 345x is a legitimate holding for me to have, so when the 3 hits the river with me betting the pot it makes it an extremely difficult decision. I would estimate his true equity to be closer to 20% given the scare cards that can hit the river, plus the times when I do scoop and he calls incorrectly. The reason for my betting the river is I had a set and second nut low, my opponent probably doesn't have 45, and probably doesn't have AA4x. I am more than likely good for atleast half heads-up and by betting I give myself a chance to win it all.The whole situation could have been avoided by Wintermute checking the flop and realising probably 4 of the players he was with on the flop had a low, and in 100% of those cases, they were freerolling him if they got heads-up. What he really wants is to take the free card offered to him and hope the board pairs. In a situation like this, then he becomes the player freerolling the lows. Since he can't lose high (barring some freak straight flush river), he can bet aggressively and hope that the river counterfeits the made low hand so he can bet the player off the pot with a huge river bet. Also of course he can win then by getting 2 players with nut low into a war.Indeed had he checked the flop, I would have bet the pot on the turn, should he have called this bet, with the river hitting I may well have checked being out of position with a now, non nut low hand and a straight showing. He could then bet his set of aces confident that the only hand that beats him (the 45) is not in my hand, and hope that his river bet makes me pass.Indeed it would be his position that gives him the advantage and not his cards.Now this may appear like harsh criticism of Wintermute, but it isn't. Even though he knows what he did on the flop is wrong and I am 100% sure of this, it's a mistake everyone, myself included, makes from time to time. It is this blinkered vision of the hand you are holding, being completely ignorant to the possible holdings of the other players that causes trouble. We are all guilty of this, but we must learn these situations and be mentally strong when they do occur. This was not a case of me outplaying Wintermute, at no point did I make a tricky bet. This was a case of Wintermute not being focused properly on the situation in hand right from the start. Food for thought gents (and any ladies in the house).

  14. I actually like it too, but my PLO8 is probably more limited. I have to think he is on a low draw. The only hands that beat you at the end are what? AA or 10J? And just about anyone that I play against raises preflop with AA, so it's tough to put him on that. So either way you got your money in with the best of it. Without a history on this guy to know if he is a wild man or not, it's tough to figure out exactly what he was thinking.BTW, since I am pretty inexperienced I would be interested to find out what hand he would play like this?
    Its in the post where I say results below. Highlight it and they show up (its in white text).
  15. My thoughts are that the river card probably didnt hurt my hand as much as it may have improved it (for example, if I was up against A 4, I am now winning). The hands I feared on the flop were A 4, A 9, 4 4, 9 9, A A. If I was up against any of those hands come the river, I am either still behind, or just improved to having the best hand. If the board didn't pair (except the ace), I would have just called his bet.

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