SuperNashwan

Am I the only person who thinks accepting gratuitous money from people who may need you to contribute to an impartial floor decision is unprofessional? What would you be thinking if the dealer's memory of events just happens to favour the guy who's been throwing the most money his way?

I tried doing this the other day but the flop permutations messed my head up. I'd love to know how it's worked out but I suspect it's more complicated than you'd first imagine.

I'd be tempted to just call simply because he's woken up on the river. Could be two pair, could be a straight, could be an overset. Two pair is most likely IMO.

IDGI? Is this another thread trying to ridicule someone without any real point?

1. Phil Hellmuth2. Annie Duke3. Scotty Nguyen4. John Juanda5. Paul Phillips6. Korosh7. Dave "Devilfish" Ulliot8. Phil Ivey9. Daniel NegreanuSit back and watch the fireworks.

I wouldn't post the results yet if you want good feedback. I think it does show you though why you have to bet on the turn, you just can't afford to give out that free card. His flop bet wouldn't be very strong as a flush draw semi-bluff given all the high cards out there so the first hand to put him on is a big pair. You don't necessarily have to bet the whole pot to make his call on the flush draw a mistake if you're folding when the last heart hits, although you shouldn't bet too weak so as to induce a bluff. Another benefit of leading the turn is he may put you on a pair with a better

Me too. I'm fairly sure you could almost never be certain enough that the other guy has aces to make a call -EV. I think it's only 40% you're toast because you suck out one in five times.

I think it goes something like this: put your opponent on a range of hands that fits the action and count the ways he can be dealt each of those hands (because eg pairs can be dealt less ways than unpaired cards). If the ratio of hands you can beat is your pot odds or better then it's obviously a call. You can adjust the weighting of the hands based on specific information if you feel certain cards are particularly more or less likely. Check out Harrington On Holdem (part 4) for more detail on calculating weighted probabilities. Harrington recommends that 10% of the probability distributio

I agree with justblaze, at micro limits K-K here should be looking for a cheap showdown, expecting to be beaten. I think folding on the flop would probably miss too much money from weaker hands unless the better was extremely passive.

I don't believe anyone who enters $500 buy in MTTs would be stupid enough to ask this question.

What's not to like? It's all true!

Two unpaired cards will hit the flop about one in three times and heads up that's the most likely holding you'll be up against. If you think he'll stick around to the river then you're about fifty-fifty against two higher cards. Obviously the lower your pair the more protection it needs with betting and the more chance you're up against a higher pocket pair (but even with 2-2 the chance of your opponent holding a higher pair is only ~6%).That should give you a good idea of what your play ought to be, and then you need to mix it up so your opponent won't know a 5XBB raise means a small pocket

Count your outs and add the probability that you're ahead based on your estimation of the players' actions, same as any other post-flop decision. Note that in your example changing your jacks to kings or aces or even tens makes almost no difference to your hand's visibility of value; you have an overpair and two people say they beat you, so deal with it. I think we should stick to giving good advice rather than second guess what players would want to wrongly do. Anyway, if you refuse to reassess your pretty holdings based on flop texture and betting action you're going to go broke whether yo

Don't forget Harman's been pretty ill recently and long tourneys weren't really feasible. I think you'll be seeing a lot more of her at final tables now she's had her operation.

The post flop play at low limits will mostly be the same regardless of whether you've checked/completed or raised; you make the same small amount post-flop, only you've given up your pre-flop advantage.