Azzy666
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Posts posted by Azzy666
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A little more info:*******************************At the end of the rebuy period, here are some total rebuy counts for notable players. Rebuy counts include add-ons.Daniel Negreanu - 12Gavin Smith - 8David "The Dragon" Pham - 2Erick Lindgren - 8Layne Flack - 4David Plastik - 2Michael "The Grinder" Mizrachi - 5John D'Agostino - 1Men Nguyen - 3Greg Raymer - 3Barry Greenstein - 7Howard Lederer - 5********************************Daniel Negreanu has just bubbled out and finished 73rd. After a board of 10-8-3-J-2, an opponent moved all in. Negreanu, sat and thought for a very long time. Finally, Negreanu put his food away, put on his back pack, put his cell phone in his pocket, and basically packed up to go home before saying, "I call." Negreanu showed J-8 for two pair, while his opponent showed 7-9 for a straight. All 72 remaining players are in the money, but some need to improve position to actually make money due to their rebuys.
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He was knocked out on the bubble, one out of the money. Ended up with 12 rebuys I think (9 rebuys and 2 add-ons), so lost $12k in total...Does anyone know what happened to DN in the $1000 N/L with rebuys?On card player they talk about him playing but then don't specify when he got knocked out? Did he make the money? -
You say that he's been LAG preflop but has been making good decisions postflop. If that's the case, I think you have to put him on an ace here. He knows that you probably have an ace to call a pot sized bet preflop.Furthermore, just because he's LAG doesn't mean he's super-aggressive so, as you suggest, he's going to have an ace a high percentage of the time that he raises pot preflop.So, I'd say that there's an excellent chance he has an ace here. If he does have an ace, he almost definitely has you beat via a higher kicker. So, I think you can feel comfortable if you hit a 4, 5, 6, 7 or 9 on the turn.You have a 43% chance of hitting one of those cards, but since they'll only win you half the pot (either high or low) you should look at it as having a 22% chance of hitting your card. Since you are only being offered 2:1 pot odds you need a 33% chance of hitting your card.You don't have the odds, so I'd say fold...If you do decide to call the turn bet, definitely fold to the turn bet.
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I agree.I figure that the other J isn't out thereReally?Given the flop action I think it has to be and if someone told me the river was going to be an 8, I'd still probably fold. -
I would say easy fold. There's no question in my mind that one of them has one of the following hands:Jx, AA, KK, QQ, TT or 99Frankly, they both probably have something from that list.
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HA HA HA HA HA HAWhen was the testiclectemy?Come on, you have to bet this.
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yeah, yeah, yeah.... I meant UTG raises.... oops!
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Well, sure.... but the OP first had the turn card as the 5 , not the 5
. That meant that he didn't have a flush by the end and thus my question. -
Why the bet on the river? Anyone who calls that bet has you beat, and no one who has you beat is going to fold....
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Let's say you're playing an Omaha-8 ring game with 10 people and you're UTG+1. You just arrived at the table and thus have no reads.[edit]UTG[/edit] raises pot. What hands are you willing to call/raise with?Here are some examples of borderline hands that I'd probably lay down - do you think I've drawn the line at the right place, am being too tight, or am being too loose?AK29 single-suitedAA68 single-suitedA348 single-suited9TJJ double-suited9TJJ single-suitedTJQQ rainbow
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Since they're loose aggressive, I wouldn't be too worried about a strong ace (AK, AJ or AT) or KQ as they probably would have reraised with any of those hands. Similarly, I wouldn't be worried about AA, JJ or TT. As a result, the only hand that I think I'm behind here is JT.You said that they're aggressive. What have they done when a preflop raiser checks? If you think it's very likely (>75%) that one of them will bet, I would check/raise all-in. If you don't think it's that likely that they'll bet, I say just raise all in now.You can't make anything but an all-in raise as the pot is $1000 and you only have $1100 left.
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Tardomatic could have JJ or KK from his preflop raise.snowteam could have 56 because he was given ENORMOUS pot odds to call from the BB.
what would u be wary of?just trying to improve my thinking..Gotta think you're ussually beat on the river. -
Really? I agree with the fold on a pot-sized bet, but don't you think folding to a min bet is a little tight? You're getting 11-1 odds to call there, and maybe he just has A678....?I'd fold here if he bet $4. -
Smash, can you explain a bit more of your reasoning here? It seems fairly obvious that the BB hit his nut club flush, a hand which you won't beat (yeah, you could get runner-runner for a boat, but unlikely enough that we can ignore that possibility).So, is your reasoning for folding that you're not willing to call this and 2 more pot-sized bets (thus putting you all in) just on the off-chance that he doesn't have a 2 to go along with his ace?
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Well, admittedly I don't play SnGs much anymore, I mostly concentrate on MTTs. However, when I used to play them, I was definitely a winning player. I never lost 10 in a row (my record was 6), but I did lose 11 buy-ins over the course of 30 games once.I then proceeded to go on a mad rush in which I cashed in 6, including 4 wins, in my next 7I'm no SnG expert though in terms of BR management.
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SnGs, I'd recommend 20 buy-ins. So, if you want to play $10 tournaments, have a roll of at least $200. I don't think a roll of $100 is enough, as Smash is suggesting...As for MTTs, you need more. It's much easier to have a streak of tournies in which you don't place. I'd recommend 30 buy-ins. So, a roll of $300 for $10 MTTs. I wasn't comfortable playing $100 MTTs until I had a roll of $5000, but I'm sure you'd be ok once you got to $3000.what are the rules for no limit, sit n goes, and mtt to sustain a bankroll.NL you should be ok with 10-15 buy ins, SnGs probably about the same, MTTs will depend a lot on the size and payout structure of them. There's a ton of variance in them, and I don't play them seriously enough to really think about a full time BR for them. -
I use a way that involves a little less memorization after the flop:( #OfOuts * 4 ) - ( #OfOuts - 8 )Thus,6 outs = 26%10 outs = 38%15 outs = 53%I use the same method after the turn...On the flop:1-8 outs: multiply by 49-12 outs: multiply by 4 and subtract 113-16 outs: multiply by 4 and subtract 4basically6 outs = 24%10 outs = 39%15 outs = 56%After the turn, multiply your outs by 2 and add 2These numbers are not exact, but they are within %1 -
IMHO, you definitely have to make plays like this to prevent your blinds from constantly being stolen from you. That being said, you have to fold with bad cards some of the time.Given the above, you may as well fold your absolute worst hands (like this one), so that there's at least a half-decent chance you can be happy with a flop. I'd fold this here, but consider making this move even with something as weak as 86o.
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What did he have, Q5?I think you played it perfectly.
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Ah, that's not quite what I said. I said I played one night every 2 weeks (on average). In one night, I 4-table MTTs for 4-8 hours, depending upon how well I do.I play on EmpirePoker and play the big hourly tournaments (usually around 200-250 people) with buy ins anywhere from $10 to $100. I usually have 2-3 of those going at once. I then fill up the extra splot or two with the 20 or 30 player tournaments for $10 to $30.I've kept track of every penny I've spent, broken down by tournament type. Here are my stats for tournaments with more than the quick-start 30 players:Number Played: 65Average Profit: $155ROI: 350%Cashes: 28%Wins: 6%You've pulled in over 10k in 2005 from playing 1 mtt every 2 weeks? That's an average of 12 tournaments, what events are you playing? -
acesfullmike, I say keep at it but drop down to $0.50/$1.00. That's where you should be playing if you're playing $2/$4 limit. You'll find that the kill and bankroll requirements are similar at this level. Additionally, you'll find that your "test NL bankroll" will last longer, allowing you to (hopefully) overcome the variance.If the only significant pots that you lost are the ones you described, then obviously you did well to get your money in the pot with by far the best hand. Ignore all the monkeys above who are saying to avoid getting all-in preflop with big pairs. If you can manage to pull an aggressive playing all-in preflop with you, that's exactly what you want. It'll pay off in the long run.
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Deposited $50 2 years ago and played $0.50/$1 (and later $1/$2) to work it up to $500. Then, I got bored of limit so I cashed out and quit playing online for half a year...Came back with the $50 I'd left in my account and started playing a variety of things throughout the last half of 2004: limit, NL, S&Gs and MTTs. I found I enjoyed the tournaments much more than the cash games so I started concentrating more and more on those, as I play much better when I'm having fun. Took in about $4500 in that 6-month stretch.Since the start of 2005 I've been playing MTTs almost exclusively and have already pulled in over $10,000 playing an average of one night every 2 weeks.Thus, my story is $50 -> $15,000
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ow.... my head hurts nowhttp://forums.cardplayer.com/viewtopic.php?t=18751Just... read that... I'm getting frustrated.
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You kind of lose all respect for him when he says that he's only pulling in 1 BB an hour from a low-limit game, eh? ha ha ha haand about this....who said that one BB an hour in 4-8 is a good hourly rate?
my total newb question on variance.
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