MrNiceGuy

I'm not sure this is the best spot to play the Krablar preflop, but I love the way you played it postflop - once you're heads-up, you're either way ahead, or way, way behind (with no more than two outs), and you can't really fold, so you might as well get the money in now. He probably has either a high pocket pair or AK, kings and nines are the only ones that beat you, and kings are highly unlikely since there's only two left.I love NL opponents that prefer to use the "raise" button instead of using the slider to make real raises. As others have said, he played his aces horribly, I don't min

Since it's a little more interesting than finishing my taxes, I went ahead and did these calculations - I won't swear by this numbers, since I have seen slightly different numbers in a couple places online, but I believe them to be correct (I'll post details on a couple of them if asked).These numbers are for offsuit connectors (they also of course apply to suited connectors, but note that with suited connectors, there is a small chance that you would flop a flush, in which case any of these straight or straight draws would be meaningless).For middle connectors (like 87):Odds of flopping an OE

Thanks for all the responses guys - My main goal of the post was to figure out if there's any way to get away from KK in this type of situation without the third player in the hand providing more info, because I couldn't see any way I could've gotten away from it if there was just two of us playing. And given that roughly half the responders didn't like my fold even with the extra information, I think it's safe to say that it's pretty much impossible (which kind of sucks, because in a full game KK will run into AA almost 5% of the time). For example, if the guy with AA would've raised more p

This is an interesting situation - I'm sure if this had come up at the table, I'd have called instantly, but now after thinking it through, I'm not sure that calling is the right play. Obviously, if you know the guy well enough to know that he'd make this play without AA (and about this size chip stack, in proportion to the blinds and your raise) more than you've seen him make it with AA, then you should call, and vice versa, you should fold. But with no read on this guy for this particular play ............ I think it might come down to what he might be putting you on for your raise (from

Recently, I was playing online in a $10 buy-in, 20-man two table tournament, when for the first time ever, I folded pocket kings preflop. This was near the beginning of the third level, the blinds were 25/50, and everyone was still in, so the average chip stack was the starting chip count of 1500.Two factors were involved in convincing me to fold - one was that there were two other players involved who were both playing like they had a big pair, and the second one was that I had played with one of them several times, and I was nearly certain that he would only play the way he did with AA or K

25/50 cent Limit HE, 8-handedI picked up A K UTG and raised. Everyone folded to the button (I had not been playing long and had no read), who three-bet. The blinds folded, and I capped (maybe should've just called here).Flop: 5 8 A I bet out, he raised, I three-bet (pocket aces crossed my mind, but I thought it unlikely), and he capped. Now I'm thinking that maybe he had the other two aces, or something like A8 or 88 that he overplayed preflop.Turn: Q I checked, he bet, I called.River: Q I checked, he checked.He showed K K , and my paired ace won the pot.Given some horrible play l

To be fair in terms of monetary value, I would think that the production rights would be worth quite a bit more if Beal wins than they would be if the pros win......Beal has always wanted the production rights to this thing if it happened, I believe - his stated rationale is that his whole goal is to refute rumors that he is a total whale, so I would think the should he win, he doesn't want somebody to produce a film that suggests that he accomplished it by catching better cards and handing out bad beats. I'm not sure that this is fair to the pros, but this is what he has said more or less f

With QQ at least, it seems to me that it would virtually always be better to raise it from either blind against any number of limpers, and the more limpers the better, at any limit. Other than perhaps the BB, you're not knocking anybody out for one bet; if you get limp-reraised, see who sticks around and go from there, now your raise has gained you information which may save you money if you miss (and may help you win more if you hit, since a C-R is more likely to work).You'll flop a Q 12% of the time, and in this case you're highly likely to have the best hand (and even when you don't, you'l

For a quick crash course read RedBloch's "Tips" post here in the stud forum, stud is a pretty complex game (as I've just begun to realized as I only recently started playing), but this provides some decent guidelines for getting started:http://www.fullcontactpoker.com/poker-foru...opic.php?t=3434

Nice post akishore.I was surprised that the odds to draw out against tens were 42% - initially I would've guessed it would be somewhere around 30% (since you have to get there and avoid the board pairing), but then I did a quick estimate with pen and paper and got ~40% (and the odds calculator at cardplayer gave the 42% answer). So at the table, I probably would've folded (incorrectly) anyway, even if he had exposed his cards.And, if you thought there was any chance at all that he had a flush or AhA/AhK/AhJh, it's hard to argue with a fold.Sounds like you basically could've flipped a chip to

I went back to think about whether the other players played correctly or not - P1: I'm sure he made a mistake somewhere; the only holecards I can see him calling with on 3rd would be any two diamonds, 4x, any pair, 23, 35, or 56. But with any of these hands, I don't get his call/fold on 5th (since he was last to act when he folded). I think if he was going to fold two small pair (with at least the fours live) he wouldn't have called the first bet. And I can't see him possibly folding trips or an OESD in this spot. So I can only imagine he was taking a flyer with maybe a couple high cards o

This is probably the worst hand of poker I've ever played - this came up online in a $15 MTT (about 200 players) a couple of months ago. I hadn't been playing poker for very long - I knew how to play tight but I also played way too weak and cautiously. But I've always remembered this hand, because it was horrible. The blinds were 75/150, and I had roughly 2000 chips, which was somewhere around half the average stack at that point. I picked up AA in the SB. Everyone folded to the button, who limped (he had about 5000 chips). I raised it to 300 (this was a pretty weak raise, I know), the

you have five clubs to catch, but you need to factor in the other players that can catch one of those five clubs. This is why your play is bad here. You weren't drawing to a live flush, this is one of the biggest money killers in stud. When you have 4 to the flush on fourth street your only gonna catch a live flush 48% of the time by the river, so you definetly won't catch a dead flush draw with five clubs left in the deck with two streets to go. I'm only trying to help you as stud is my best game and am always willing to help out in stud related questions. So if I seem harsh I'm only trying t

Thanks for the comments guys - much appreciated.3rd St: I agree that on 3rd street I definitely should've raised; I got really lucky overall on this hand.4th St: Also, P1 was the first to act on 4th street with his pair of 4s showing, and he checked and I bet. So I think I would've been allowed to (and probably should've) made the full bet here, because P1 had the pair showing. But I like your suggestion of a check-raise KDawg, that probably would've been the best play.7th St: KDawg, after looking at it again, I agree with you that I should've raised on seventh after catching my flush. P7 p

Thought I would try getting the stud forum going by posting a hand - I have not been playing 7-card stud long (a few weeks), I'm roughly breaking even at it overall. I've exclusively played limit at $.50/$1.00.Here's a hand I played yesterday, the third hand I saw after sitting down, which turned out pretty well - any comments on my play would be appreciated.8-handed 7-card stud (hi only) - $.50/1.00, 5 cent ante3rd Street:P1 (- -)4:diamond: posts bring-in ($.25), calls ($.75)ME (J:club: K:club:)K:heart: calls ($.25), calls ($.75)P3 (- -)8:club: calls ($.25), calls ($.75)P4 (- -)Q:spade: call

I was half-watching ... as I recall Howard had handed out an even worse beat not long before receiving this one. I believe he was all-in preflop with TT vs. KK and he flopped a third 10 to stay alive and double up. So I didn't feel too badly for him on this one ... although it had to be brutal for him the way it came down, with two outs once it got down to the river.

I haven't ventured above 25/50c limits, so if players at 50c/$1 frequently overplay their hands, your play makes sense to me. IMO, maybe this is weak, but with no read, even at 25/50c, I check/call the the turn and river (unless he checks behind on the turn, then bet the blank on the river) after he caps the flop. His preflop and postflop betting together strongly suggest AA (or possibly the other two kings). He is presumably reading you for a big pair, after your preflop cap and your postflop bet and reraise, and shouldn't expect you to fold. Or, his capping the flop could suggest a set,

Thanks for all the posts Smash, I've read a lot of them, so I'll give this a shot:1. AK2. QQ3. QJ4. AA (maybe AK or KK)5. AQ or AK (or maybe AJ)6. AK clubs (or possibly AT clubs)7. AA, and you raise of course8. AK or AQ (or maybe AJ or AT)9. Any two clubs10. AA11. TT12. AQ

to flop it, i calculate, 0.3299%I get a bit worse ... 0.2449% to hit quads on the flop.

thanks MrNiceGuy, that was a genuinely awesome post.one question: if you win on average $550 every 1/110, does this make the tournament -EV?110 * $5.50 = $605 spent on buy-ins,1 * $550 = $550 won oncecosts - revenue = $55 lossis there something wrong with that logic?other than that, that post was very refreshing. so the house does take the standard 10% fee, because you factor in the loopbacks.thanks,aseemI guess it does, but that's given the assumption that everyone has an equal chance of winning - under that assumption, any game where there's a rake (in other words, anything other than a hom

Hi, I've been reading the forum for a couple weeks, but this is my first post. I just wanted to post the full calculation for this problem (akishore provided two estimates - the first treated a partial win as a full win, so it overestimated your return and gave a negative rake, and the second ignored partial wins, so it underestimated your return and gave a huge rake).Here is the full calculation (if all players have an equal chance of winning): Assume you buy-in to round 1 for $5.50. If you win the maximum, you advance a level, If you win T27.50 in round 2, you repeat round 2, if you win T2