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About Wilderness

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  1. Fold. If it was just you and BB then given what you've said about him tilting you might call this, but you've got MP2 who limped, called, then called this all-in for most of his stack, and you still have the pre-flop raiser to act behind you. I just don't think TPTK is going to be good here enough to make it worthwhile. Plus, you've got a good sized stack for the blinds, so there is no reason to risk most of that in this situation. Easy fold.
  2. Yeah, its definitely possible he has KQ, but more often than not I think you are in good shape and well worth going for it.
  3. I'd agree that you jam here because, as has been mentioned, you are ahead more often than you are behind. In my experience in these kind of SNG's people will way overplay flush draws and TPTK way too often to get away here. AA/KK seems unlikely, they could have been trying to be tricky and not re-raising PF but even then were you really going to get away from QQ PF point given how most people play in these things? I am worried about a set of Jacks or possibly even 10's, but most of the time you'll see AJ, A or K flush draw, or even someone getting silly with AK/AQ. I'd definitely take my c
  4. You are talking about just calling the original all-in right? I think that just calling that all-in is the right play here. The read we've been given by the OP was that we think the BB is a solid player. If that's the case, then just calling shows the BB that we've got a decent hand. If he's got a good hand but not a monster he may call as well and check down to try and eliminate the all-in. If he's got a monster then he will re-raise and you know to get out of his way. He can't really represent a monster since he will have to show down with the all-in even if he gets us to fold.What I j
  5. Suited and gap connectors are great, but as someone mentioned, not out of position. I also prefer smaller suited/gap connectors so that you have less chance of being dominated. Good bet on the flop. You're running into trouble on the turn though, since you haven't improved at all and are quite likely behind. You know you've got to be behind when he calls the turn bet (a re-raise here and you either have to let go of your hand or make a bad call). So did you get lucky on the river against AJ/AK or did you lose to something like a set/AQ/A10?
  6. I agree with Scott here. Re-raising the flop, as you did, is necessary to find out where you are, but you need to bump it up higher to give you a good idea. Still, once he's called that and re-raised you on the turn you should be letting the hand go.
  7. Very easy call at the end there. With such a small bet you have to call even though you're pretty sure he's got the Ace. I think its better to raise the flop. By flat-calling you are not only giving the EP guy a fairly cheap turn card, but if the button/BB behind you have the A of diamonds you're easily giving them odds to call. If you already have the nut flush on the flop then I can see doing that, hoping that someone with the K or Q of diamonds hits and pays you off some but in this case I think you raise on the flop.
  8. As you mentioned, I'm pretty much always going to C/R when hitting a set against an obvious overpair/TPTK. But going for a C/R or leading out when hitting trips is different and depends on the situation (ie how many people to the flop, was it raised, etc), the people you are playing with, and your table image. If I'm playing against someone who I believe will take a shot at the pot I'll definitely check, but if its a more scary board, say 2 to a flush or possible straight draws then I will lead out. I used to go for a C/R a lot more often but now I've realized that most of people I play wit
  9. I read that twice and got a headache. What the heck are you talking about?
  10. I can see the merits for both calling and folding but I would fold here. I play these kind of SH sng's frequently and while there is a big difference in 1st and 2nd payoffs, when someone has less than 1BB I would wait for him to get knocked off, which is likely within the next few hands. We know the short stack will be all in as the BB next hand, so it will not cost you much to see the next 2 hands and how he fares. If he doubles through it then you have to adjust your strategy and see what cards you get and how the big stack acts.It also might depend on how confident you are in 1) your HU
  11. That's also only for one table. If you are good enough to beat a .25/.50 game for 3 BB/100 then you should be able to to beat 3 or 4 tables for 2/2.5 BB's each. Now, about your month experiment. Ignoring the fact that its such a small sample and that you won't consistently make that much in the long run, let's break down the money you made. You made 109.50 playing 31 SNG's. Most SNG's are between 1 hour and 1 1/2 hours so let's just assume that they all lasted 1 hour and 15 minutes. That means you made 2.83/hour for that month. Now, you can't truly compare money per 100 hands and per ho
  12. But if you haven't played the thousands of hands you would be playing at the lower limits how do you think you will be able to jump into 2/4 or 3/6 and actually make a profit? Just because you read SS2? Given that you mostly play NL SNG's and NL tables, you will need to adjust to a limit game and its probably not the best idea for your bankroll to be trying to do that at a 3/6 table.
  13. I believe you should count your bet as well. Yes, it may be "inflating" the pot odds, but the reason you bet out in the first place isn't because of pot odds, its because of all your outs (flush, plus probably pairing your kicker will win at least some of the time).So if you bet 60 into a pot of 60, there is now 120 in the pot. If he min raises you another 60 the pot is 240 and its only 60 for you to call and so you should. If he is smart and wants to chase out the flush draws, he will make a large bet, say 360, which makes the pot 480 and 300 more for you to call, so you'd have to fold if
  14. The only real times I play Ax off is if I'm in one of the blinds or late position and trying to steal. It causes way too many problems if you start playing it. I will limp with Ax suited in late position if there are at least a couple callers already.Mostly Ax suited or not is not a good hand and will only get you in trouble. Obviously, as with anything in poker, how you play the hand depends a lot on your position, your table, etc, but mostly they are junk hands.
  15. Your last post was very informative and well thought out. I actually agree with a lot of your reasoning and therefore it does seem that a call makes sense. My feelings before were that you were getting less than 2-1 on your money and you were probably behind or in trouble. But I guess I should have really tried to figure out the percentages for having a gutshot and a likely good flush draw, because I didn't realize it would be so high against a set or the nut flush draw. But I think you've shown that it is a +EV play to make this call, and if you lose it then you just reload and go from th
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