darkrider88
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Posts posted by darkrider88
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Thanks guys. Yea it's not really a "poker" blog, so I tried to make it really easy to understand the poker part of it. This was just one post where I used poker to explain something I had been kicking around in my head. When you say "static", what exactly do you mean? Thanks again. Keep the criticism coming, it's what I need.
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I recently started a blog, and I desperately need some honest outside critique. This post is poker related, so I figured it would fit. Having my family and friends tell me it's good doesn't help me. Hope you find this interesting.Fear and PokerThere really isn't any other game like poker. It's an adventure in statistics, psychology, game theory, investments (risk vs. reward), human nature, analysis and synthesis of patterns, courage, and fear. The last topic is interesting. Everyone, to some degree, deals with fear. At the poker table, true emotions are amplified, and fear can become a major factor. The challenge at both the poker table and in life is not to deal with the symptoms of fear, but to conquer the fear itself. Let me explain.About a year ago, a big hole in my game was often I folded on the river (the final round of betting). Many times I knew the odds dictated calling a bet, but some sort of irrational fear within me prevented me from putting in chips without a stellar hand. Fear was hurting my game, and I needed to correct it. I began to start calling more and more bets on the river, and started to really believe I was overcoming my fear. That all changed Saturday.I was in a tournament, and was sitting on a great hand: a King high straight. It was well disguised, my opponent didn't think I had much, and I was set to make a ton of money. That is until the last card brought a Queen, which enabled my opponent to have a bigger straight with just holding a single ace. He quickly bet, and suddenly my huge hand looked pretty bad.There were a lot of clues that pointed to me being beat. There were physical tells (he looked very calm and even asked me "do you have the 9?" in a way that told me he definitely had a good hand). Him holding an ace sense throughout this entire pot, and there are very few hands that justified his big bet. He was NOT the type to throw a big bluff either. No other hand really made sense. I was getting a little less than 2-1 on the call, and decided I would fold.I couldn't fold though. Instead I reluctantly threw the bet into the pot and was promptly showed the Ace of clubs and lost the pot. Why? One word: fear. I was scared to fold the best hand. I was scared of being shown a bluff. Fear didn't hurt my thought process; but it killed the execution. I must have told myself 10 different times that I was beat; it didn't matter.After the tournament I was left questioning myself. I thought I had overcome fear at the table a long time ago. But I really didn't. Fear still dictated my play during that hand, but instead resulting in a fold, fear manifested itself in a stupid call. Then it hit me. What I did a year ago was get rid of a symptom of the fear (in this case, folding on the last card). I DID NOT overcome the source of the fear. There is a big difference.Is fear something that I can remove entirely? I think so, but it has to come from deep within myself. In life it is easy to correct a symptoms. You feel sad; go get a drink. You feel lonely; go watch a sitcom. You feel devoid of meaning and satisfaction; go buy a new car or other cool toys. All these things alleviate the immediate symptoms of depression; but they do not touch the underlying source of the issues.I'm not going to pretend I know how to get rid of the source of my fear. I have different ideas, but obviously I have a long way to go. It is definitely a struggle, but after all, it is the battles we fight that largely determine who we are.Thanks guys.
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Without making a judgement preflop (folding or shoving but have merits), there is no way you can fold in good faith on the flop after your call.You´re getting better than 5-1, which means you only have to win this 17% of the time for a call to be correct. Even if he has AA or KK, you are going to hit your third queen about 8% of the time. So you need to be about 90% sure that he has AA or KK.At those limits, I don´t think you can make that type of conclusion.
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FLY EAGLES FLRYON THE ROADD TO VICTORYFIGHT EAGLES FIHGT SCOREE A TOUHDOWN ONE TO THREEHIT THE MLOWHIT HTEM HIGHAND WATCH OUT EAGLES FLYFLY EAGLES FLYON THE ROAD TO ICTORY. E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!!!!!!!JUST GO AI PF.
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Very tough spot, but this is not an easy fold. Other two pair combos, even a flush draw with a pair is possible now. I think a set is much more likely than a straight here, since a straight wouldn't want to push you out but a set could want to protect his hand when the 2nd club and straight card hit (the same logic applies to 2 pair). I hate it but probably call.
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Still having daddy issues?
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Dear Chrozzo,I was at a party last night and shot many 151 depth charges. My pong partner wanted to play another game with me and was trying to convince me to play. If I played, I knew I would be sick all night and I had work at 630 AM that morning (this was about 2 AM). If I didn't play, I would be ridiculed, called a *****, and more importantly would have broken the number one rule of pong; you keep playing until you lose. What's my move?Respectfully,darkrider88
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Before I would even start thinking about the situation, I would puke under the table because this is a sick spot to be in. From the TAG player's perspective, you raised pf and bet the flop. For him to raise this flop he could have but doesn't necessarily need a monster. This could be done w/ a Q, set, or pair w/ flush draw. Then look at it from the LAG player. He's seen a pf raiser bet the flop, get raised by a TAG player, and still elects to go all in. He either has you dominated, has the Ad, or could even already have the flush. This is too murky of a situation to put your money in, be happy you got out for only 10 and fold.
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How can we advocate folding for 14 dollars?? Did you read the first hand? If he only needed 10 high to call bets, do you think he needs much more to raise a bet? Small PP are possible, a 6 is possible, even KQ or something like that is possible. Of course he may have the case A with a better kicker, but combined with the other possiblities+sucking out chances there is no way he can fold this.
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FLY EAGLES FLY, ON THE ROAD TO VICTORY,FIGHT EAGLES FIGHT, SCORE A TOUCHDOWN 1 2 3 (1 2 3)HIT THEM LOW, HIT THEM HIGH, AND WATCH OUR EAGLES FLYFLY EAGLES FLY, ON THE ROAD TO VICTORE-A-G-L-E-S EAGLESYou can bet I will be the biggest Eagles fan in all of Virginia next year (first year at UVa.)
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Folding is out of the question. To put this donkey on the case A and fold for 14 more dollars with trips is ridiculous. I'm stuck between raising and calling. You are either WA/WB, so I like calling here and checking/calling the turn, or if there is no turn bet putting in a good bet on the river.
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I can't fold this. Other overpairs are in his range, and you are getting 2.9-1. You are ahead here at least 30% of the time IMO.
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The TAG was considered short stack in this game, and I got the feeling he was trying to double up quick or go to the ATM. Chaser's range is 77-KK (AA he just calls),AK, AQ, AJ, KQ. Does this change anything?
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My first thought was definitely to fold, but the more I thought about it, the more I realized that if I go all the way to the river I'm going to have a set about 20% of the time. If I'm ahead of the blinds only 10% of the time w/o flopping a set(they share overcards or overcards vs. an underpair), then it is definitely a +EV call.
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Relevant chip counts: SB: 400BB: 60MP1: 150MP2: 200Hero: 115Background: Small blind is extremely LAG. His nickname is called "Chaser" for good reason. He is not a good player. BB is TAG. I've won a few pots here and there but haven't played a large pot yet. MP1 and MP2 are both very good players. Hero: 10c 10sAction: UTG folds, MP1 raises to 11 (standard), MP2 calls, Hero calls (do you like this call?) SB raises to 70, BB goes all in for 60, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, Hero??To do the math for you...11+11+11+70+60=163 pot.It costs hero 59 dollars to call. Hero is getting 2.8-1, or only needs to win 26% of the time to break even.Big factor: I am nearly 100% sure SB will bet any flop.
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Yes the board is a little scary, but getting better than 3-1 I don't see how this is a fold. At least 30% of the time he doesn't have the flush here, and throwing away top set here would be throwing away money.
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Tough spot, but I think a call is in order.After the flop bet you have 10580 in chips. The pot contains 3350+2000+2000+10580=17930, and it will cost you 10,580 to call, which is about 1.8-1. If you are ahead more than about 36% of the time (which you definitely are, his range includes Jx(good kicker), high pocket pairs, and maybe even a draw (Q10?). You want to be going for top 3, so calling is definitely the correct move.
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Sick write-up. I've been having a lot of the same thoughts and play very similar to this suggested strategy, and one nagging question keeps entering my mind that maybe you can answer; The Fundamental Theorem of Poker. According to this, it is rarely correct to call, since if you could know your hand is superior than your opponent's you should bet/raise and if it is inferior w/o odds you should fold. Obviously you don't know with certainty how your hand ranks, but if you read a situation correctly by the fundamental theorem then calling is rarely the best option.What do you think? Am I missing something about the theorem? Is calling just the happy medium between betting/folding? Or is Sklansky's advice outdated?
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I think both plays, calling the 90 and reraising are reasonable choices. In dealing with the problem of a resteal, the way I see it you are only reraising him with one of five hands: AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AK. Sure he'll win the 330 when you fold JJ (and probably AK), but you'll take his stack most of the time with AA, KK, QQ.
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I can't see myself folding this. I think we are ahead at least 38% of the time because a CRAI on a draw heavy board is so often a semi-bluff (in this case overpair with flush draw, or straight/flush draw). It could even be a weird play with AA with no flush draw, as he could have waited for a safe turn to put money in the pot.
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You guys can pay this bet off? There are four hearts on the board, at best you are tying, at worst you are throwing money away.
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1-2NL GameVillian (BB) is looooooose, loves flush draws, makes tons of small bets with little pattern, and has $300I have a TAG reputation, sitting with $150.7 handed.Hand 9c-8cUTG Limps, 2 limps, Hero calls, small blind completes, villian (BB) raises to $5, all call.Pot ($30), 6 handedFlop: 4s 5h 6hSB checks, Villian bets $5, UTG folds, limpers call, Hero calls, SB foldsPot ($50)Turn: 4s 5h 6h (7h)Villian bets $25, Limpers fold, Hero calls $25.Pot $100 heads upRiver 4s 5h 6h 7h 9hVillian bets $25.00Hero?
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No, you made the standard raise, and UTG reraised AI and you didn't want to flip a coin. He either has a big pair or is making a fancy play with AK.
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TAG players do not like to trap w/ a vulnerable hand like QQ UTG, and when the raise came around to him he would of reraised if he did have QQ. Overall, I think that there are too many hands you have beat to lay this down with the size of that pot.
Mommy
in General Poker Forum
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My prayers are with you. Stay strong.