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NickCave

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Everything posted by NickCave

  1. Celebrating Today (48) theresa113 (44) pokertvstar (28) pockets (33) vonteego3 (34) IUnook (46) TheDuck21 (43) Entrepeneur (47) eddiedean987 (26) IEnjoySlowrolling If I was making a list of things I hate with unabashed abandon, slowrolling would be one of them. As a player, if my hand goes to showdown, and I think it has more than a 5% chance of winning, I show it down immediately. As a dealer, I wanted to murder the players that refused to show down after being called, or left of the button. I hated them. You know what the worst was? Listening to the "conversa
  2. The Horror! The Horror! (safe for everyone)
  3. I don't have anywhere else to talk Big 10 football, so this is my Big 10 open thread
  4. This Michigan Michigan St game is hot garbage. There have been like 14 plays of negative 8 yards or worse. I'll be so mad if MSU doesn't win.
  5. NavyButtons was obviously revenge-trolling but I still want to talk about baseball theory. I AM SO TORN
  6. Clasic Drummond line. 12pts, 16rbs, 3stl, 2blk. 0-1FT, Pistons lose in OT EDIT: I think Drummond will be a top 15 NBA player by the beginning of his 4th year, worst case scenario. He's amazing.
  7. Hey you guuuuuyyyyyssss! It's the weekend, so I'm doing the birthday stuff. Pretty awful Saturday. I'm pretty upset about it. Zelphade (37) TakeItBack (25) snippytran (31) Wish I knew a word that would adequately describe my intense anger. Loogie (36) Marie Antoinette, Nelly Edit: I've never had more respect for Fritz than I do right now. So hard to pick the celebrity birthdays. "Two and only two" is a fucking cruel rule. After fifteen seconds I'm not even sure the shape the joke should take. Do I want polar opposites? ("I'm trying, I'm trying to, drink awa
  8. I saw it and thought it kinda sucked. I have read the books.
  9. Jesus Christ, Michael Carter-Williams. Just what the hell? 22 points, 12 asists, 9 steals, 7 rebounds against the Heat in his NBA debut. And Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is out there, shitting around 4/12 every game. Looks like Carter Williams is going to beat Caldwell-Pope's ass in the battle of hyphenated first round rookie guards.
  10. For real. Your use of "was," there in the conditional tense... cringe-worthy
  11. As far as I can tell, the owner has not been active here in years. What are you worried about?
  12. Exactly, all of those things. My TA was using words I didn't fully understand at the time, because he was a goblin, but he kept pointing out how alive every shot felt, and how uncomfortable it was once you knew you should expect a cut. Seriously, that part about "expecting a cut" was weird for me. We're so used to seeing cuts that it's massively discomforting when a single shot lasts longer than a few seconds. But is the scene he showed while screaming. "DIRECTING AND ACTING AND ALL OF THE THINGS THAT ARE GOOD THINGS AND THIS IS AMAZING AND ACTING AND PLEASE TELL ME YOU UNDERSTAND [CRY
  13. Oh, man, you couldn't leave a space for AmScray to get his favorite nut in?
  14. When I first saw Children of Men I was underwhelmed. I thought it was a well-written, well-acted sci-fi flick, but nothing to write home about. Very good movie, but not A GREAT FILM or anything. Then I took a really cool film class, and we asked our TA what his favorite movies ever, were. He didn't answer that question, but he did tell us his favorite moves of the 2000s so far were 25th Hour, United 93, Royal Tennenbaums, The Incredibles, and Children of Men. I asked him what the **** was so good about Children of Men, and he turned into a goblin. He was so ****ing passionate about how inc
  15. Well, I haven't seen that documentary, but I was assuming it wasn't a REAL 18 minute take. But it still has to be ultra sharp filmmaking. If it's going to look good, you've got some very precise acting, in terms of movement, marks, tempo, etc. Right? Just given the necessary camera locations and shot lines, there has to be some pretty ridiculous logistical challenges
  16. When it comes to game theory and baseball, there are other super interesting things to talk about, but most of them have been pounded already. Tango/Litchman have a book called The Book that addresses all the cool game theoretically-optimizing stuff. One of the cool ones is the frequency with which one should bunt, specifically in high leverage situations. Like, say it's GTO to bunt for a hit 1/88 plate appearances down by two, in the ninth inning, with your #5 hitter up, runner on 1st no out, just as a balance issue, in order for your bunting to be unexploitable via fielder positioning. Let's
  17. I don't think icing the kicker works. There are a number of statistical profiles, many of which leave something to be desired, that address the issue, and the general consensus is that it has no effect. It really depends on what you control for, and then the issue becomes sample size, but there's no good statistical evidence that suggests icing the kicker has any tangible impact. I would recommend Moskowitz/Werthheim, but they've had some serious methodological issues (and some serious bonehead dum dum mistakes) pop up in their work before, so I don't want anyone to consider the issue closed.
  18. WIthout reading any other posts. First of all, most my pitching experience was limited to, "Hmmm, this guy is pretty terrible, let's see what happens if I throw a FASTBALL. Okay, well maybe he has TROUBLE WITH THE CURVE." Maybe 10 starts in my entire life did I ever have to really concern myself with things like sequencing, eye-level, or anything more important than "I throw an easy 88 with movement let's just get this over with." That being said, I've spent much of my adult life thinking about baseball, and I actually have a real answer to this question, despite the fact that it's si
  19. Bovada still takes US action. It's a dogshit book, though. If you win any money they'll just start dealing you stupid lines or lowering your limits. Not sure how quick they pay out, but I know three people who are flush there, and the money comes.
  20. Prisoner of Azkaban, which was probably the best film in the series. Best source material, too, though. Cuaron's use of long takes must require a ridiculous amount of precision and planning. Can't be easy to act in, either. If you miss your mark my 2 inches the shot is ruined
  21. No. Highland Park is an Island single malt, you uncultured boor, AND I SPECIFIED IT WAS A SPEYSIDE I bought him a bottle of Aberlour 18. Originally, I was trying to find a bottle of Balvenie 17 Doublewood. I'm not sure how available it is, generally, as I only had it a few times when a friend of mine had a bottle I drank, but I couldn't find it in the city. Anyway, the Aberlour 10 and 12 are enjoyable (though I haven't had the 16), so I figured I'd give the 18 a shot. We cracked it open last night and had a dram or two. Pretty good. I wouldn't hesitate to keep a bottle around for after
  22. And it legitimately has the best use of 3-D I can remember. (Captain Eo, notwithstanding, of course.)
  23. He's very grateful. Talked to him today. He's going to see what he an get for it, and says he is either giving me half. The money or buying me something awesome. If it turns out it's not easy to sell, or he can't get much, he says he'll offer it back to his dad or we will drink it. I was too in shock to do anything but kill myself. Complicated plots were not an option.
  24. There is literally no one in the world I don't hate right now.
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