
fivechips
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Posts posted by fivechips
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To 10K after your raise says monster to me. I would just fold the suited Ace to his raise and avoid all the EV pot odds calculations.
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What is IKE betting this flop with? Is he really betting in to Daniel with three diamonds and no diamond or no King? Basically risking his tournament life on a continuation bet with no hope of winning to a DN check raise? I don't see how we can't narrow his range on his bet to any king or any diamond draw. In those situations he's committed and will make the bet. Otherwise I think he checks back to Daniel and maybe gives up the hand to a turn bet. And if we do narrow his range significantly we are behind and then a check/fold is probably the better play here. As it stood Daniel was in fact behind as a dog and needed to get lucky.As to the other post involving coin-flips. I would say at the late stages of a tournament the coin flip starts to become a viable strategy.Take all his range. Separate that:a) hands i beatb) hands are ahead of meSo you calculate the combinations of every hand. For example: AKo = We know there is a King on the flop, so there are 4 Aces and 3 Kings out. 4*3=12 combinations.After calculate the combinations of all range you discover how much in % hands that beat us represent of the Ike's entire range. Note: When i say 12 combinations of AK you have to understand that we can play for 11 outs against AK no diamonds and 2 outs against AK w/ diamond. That's why this is so tough spot. Really really difficult to calculate or real equity against Ike entire range and the % of hands that we beat without a pencil and paperVery nice play Daniel.
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Are you putting these hands that dominate you at 5% because he bets on the flop to your check? If so how do you arrive at that %? The way I would look at it - of course he can have a pretty wide range with a cut-off bet pre-flop. But I would think he would bet any K diamond kicker here after the flop and check any hand that at least does not contain a king or a high to medium diamond. It's a terrible spot (in my opinion) to continuation bet without at least a king or a diamond. It opens up a check raise and could put him in a tough spot if he's weak. So my post-flop read on a check/bet would be strong hand (at least a King) or semi-bluffish (high/medium diamond) continuation bet. Of course I don't even know who we are talking about so your read and experience on his play is probably more effective here.Anyway - thanks for the response. It is great that we are able to have you here to answer questions.All the hands you mention Ike having that crush me represent less than 5% of his range in that spot when he bets. He needs a FLUSH or a King WITH a diamond. That is VERY unlikely. I do "ok" against every other hand he has since when I'm beat I'll have 11 outs likely which doesn't suck, and when he is drawing, we'll be flipping. -
I'm not liking this at all. If you're going to take this approach on a flop like this why not just shove pre-flop when you have real fold equity? You're dominated by any K with a diamond kicker better than an 8, a huge dog to any two diamonds higher than an 8, a significant dog to any flush, and against any KX you're a slight (8 or under) to huge dog (8 or better) to any non-diamond kicker. Again post flop if you're taking this stand why not just shove the flop out of position? Again with fold equity. Anyway I would never in a million years play this hand the way you did. I probably shove pre-flop to the cut off raise if he's aggressive and hope for a fold or a coin flip. Of course I have almost no real poker accomplishments whatsoever - so on that note I'm waiting to hear your explanation.
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