checkymcfold
Monday, September 19th, 2005, 7:39 AM
QUOTE (dank773)
Do I bet out with this one again?
PLO8 $1-$2
Dank: $185
MP: $182
BB: $157
I'm on the button with A

3

K

K

. One limper, I raise to $6, BB calls, MP calls.
BB is a good player, I've played with him a lot, don't know muc about MP.
I'm not sure about the raise preflop.
Flop is 5

4

9

.
BB bets $9.50, MP calls, Dank pots it to $63, BB calls, MP calls.
Great flop for me, and I was really suprised that there were two callers on my raise.
Turn is the 9

. BB checks, MP checks, Dank...
Very ugly card for me, I know the BB doesn't usually slow play, so I don't think that this card helped him, but I don't have any notes on MP to know if he's smart/dumb enough to check a FH here.
Your thoughts?
barring any prior reads, i'd say your MP friend is most likely sitting on A2, and the 9 didn't help. if you're pretty sure that BB isn't going to CR his boat, then potting it again isn't terrible. even if you think that BB is "a good player," i'd say that 7/10 times he's drawing to a nut low as well. of course, "doesn't usually slowplay" and "doesn't slowplay ever" are different things, and this is a difference of the utmost importance for situations like this.
i'd say you have to bet something here, as any decent player who sees you check behind here is going to throw a big bet at you on the river regardless of what s/he has, since a check says "i have the ace flush, and now i'm scared of a boat." i'd say your best option is to throw out somewhere in the range of 30 with the intention of checking the river behind. the bet is safer than you'd think; usually the cold call of a HUGE bet on the flop means a draw to a low, which, with any luck, both your pals here are looking for.
i'm curious as to how this ended up... i'm guessing you got boated up on, since you're posting the hand, but i don't know what else you could do here. folding is pretty terrible, and checking in situations like this will kill you in most even pseudo-aggressive games.
EDIT: whoops, i forgot to mention what you do if you get CRed on this turn. if it's a push, i think a fold is justified, no matter how much it sucks.