SwolyswoND
Tuesday, October 27th, 2009, 11:09 AM
QUOTE (rrumsey @ Tuesday, October 27th, 2009, 12:28 PM)

my point is 3 way we may be up against a nut draw and other villain having some other draw, stealing some of the outs of the flush ( plus we have 2 flush card in our hand), making a set more powerful.I like that possibly 8 of the Hearts could already be dealt out leaving flushes very exposed. Odviously we do this knowing a bigger set is in their ranges
I mean it is a bit of a cooler if one of two things happen:
A.) A villain has an overset and nut flush draw with back door st8 flush possiblities
B.) Both have better sets and what they think are flush outs
I mean at .02-.05 PLO i think there should be enough naked draws and a few two pairs to compensate for simply better sets, making this an extremely close call, and kind of by default i say go with it if it is close in very small stakes donks could sometimes be doing things we are totally suprised by like naked K highs, two pairs no draw, and the way out in left field chance of a hand with the one worse flush draw then use, lol.
I mean a few are far fetched and i realize that but it is sssooo close in a micro stakes game don't we miss a lot of value against newbies when we fold sets on the flop void of like a st8 flush board?
I probably could fold this in better plo games (like .25-.50) as long as i haven't seen too much craziness out of both villains
Against a donk/repot and a cold caller in between, you are almost never exclusively up against two unmade hands with only draws. At least one of them is made. I think what you are forgetting in your analysis is yes, maybe, just maybe someone thinks that two pair is still teh nutz here and plays it super fast, but 1) that doesn't happen super often with a hand like K8 in PLO and 2) us having a set severely takes away the # of two pair combos a villain can have. I think it's more likely the cold caller has two pair than the b/3bettor.
When a player b/3b shove into us like would be the scenario here, he lead into us because he wanted us to raise, hoping we had AA. It's a very common play in NLHE cash, and I see it a lot in PLO too. I'm more than happy to get it in heads up, but 3way I think we're up against an overset and bigger draw, meaning we'd have 1 out.