uncooper
Saturday, February 28th, 2009, 2:23 PM
QUOTE (pg_780 @ Saturday, February 14th, 2009, 1:21 PM)

No offense taken--it's nice to be able to discuss these things with knowledgable pepople. So if we deduce this guy has either (AA, KK, JJ, 1010 or 77) on the flop, then our cumulative equity against this range is very low. We are huge dogs against 4 of these hands on the flop and a huge fave against only one. I still think at some point in this hand we need to ask ourselves, "what can we beat here?
I'm not really familiar with what a "good, solid" player 3bets with from the SB to an UTG raise and LP call at 1/2 LHE 6max, but your range for him preflop and to b/3b this flop seems remarkably narrow.
Your Assigned Range:Hand
Pot equity Wins Ties
QhQd
28.88% 6,861 0
AA,KK,JJ,TT,77
71.12% 16,899 0
Slightly Wider Range:Hand
Pot equity Wins Ties
QhQd
41.53% 13,980 0
AA,KK,JJ,TT,77,ATs,TJs,89s
58.47% 19,680 0
Maybe His Actual Range:Hand
Pot equity Wins Ties
QhQd
53.42% 28,032 0
AA,KK,JJ,TT,77,AK,ATs,TJs,9Ts,89s
46.58% 24,438 0
Extremely Wide Range:Hand
Pot equity Wins Ties
QhQd
67.16% 87,097 0
AA,KK,JJ,TT,99,88,77,44,AK,AQ,AT,TJ,9T,89,J9
32.84% 42,593 0
I was feeling charitable so I even added a hand that beats us to the "extemely wide range".
Of course, CO obviously has some non-zero amount of equity in this pot, which I am ignoring just because I wanted to address this specific issue of SB's actual range and hero's equity against it.